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Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV BSSW, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Dallas Stars 5-2. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 11:53 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 2.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were DAL 27, VAN 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 14 of 19 (.737), 2.6 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Guillaume Brisebois (1 G), 2. Brock Boeser (3 A), 3. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    G. Brisebois1 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Boeser3 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0721307227
VANVAN241827519

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    J. Miller (37), B. Boeser (31)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:35
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    6:00

2nd period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    0:48
  2. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    11:53
  3. DAL
    J. Benn(29)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    19:55

3rd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    4:09
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    16:58

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·VAN 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:27DALJani Hakanpää · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 7:52DALMax Domi · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 12:54DALRadek Faksa · Roughingdrawn by Noah Juulsen2 min
  • 12:54VANNoah Juulsen · Roughingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 12:54DALRadek Faksa · Roughingdrawn by Noah Juulsen2 min

2nd

  • 19:28VANPhillip Di Giuseppe · Closing hand on puck2 min

3rd

  • 8:37VANJ.T. Miller · High stickingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 17:57VANChristian Wolanin · Hookingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalDAL goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 2nd 11:53 — VAN 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Brisebois · Goal · xG 0.18D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.18C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.15S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.14Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.12V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.12B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.12Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kuzmenko · Goal · xG 0.11J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.10D. Joshua · Missed · xG 0.10P. Di Giuseppe · Goal · xG 0.10J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.10Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09N. Aman · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02G. Brisebois · Missed · xG 0.01S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN5 G · 2.4 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsVAN
2.12 G
All situations
5 G2.4
1.41 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL45%55%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsVAN
27
Shots on goal
19
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
23
10
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD022-330.23100—26:45
23E. LindellD000000.03120—21:21
53W. JohnstonC101-120.210007519:25
6C. MillerD000-210.04200—19:07
2J. HakanpääD000020.05422—18:02
20R. SuterD000-100.00010—17:47
63E. DadonovL000-120.09000—16:51
14J. BennL112-140.220106716:25
24R. HintzC000000.052004316:25
16J. PavelskiC000-250.3510010016:10
21J. RobertsonL000-110.17100—16:10
18M. DomiC000-220.131025015:47
10T. DellandreaC000-110.075004014:21
25J. KivirantaL000010.05220—14:09
12R. FaksaC000020.271045713:44
44J. HanleyD000000.04310—12:11
42F. OlofssonL000010.03010—10:17
11L. GlendeningC000000.062004410:11
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32M. Murray(L)19145.7372.36-2.6459:19

Season series

VAN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).