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Canadiens at Golden Knights
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, TSN2·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 19:41 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals were close — MTL 2.5, VGK 2.7; shots on goal were MTL 28, VGK 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Ivan Barbashev (2 G), 2. Shea Theodore (1 G), 3. Reilly Smith (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    I. Barbashev2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL05012311328
VGKVGK21314111428

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    12:37
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.25win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:41

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    7:20

3rd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    2:04
  2. VGK
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    7:44
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    8:07
  4. MTL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    3-4
    8:42

Penalties

MTL 7 PIM·VGK 9 PIM

1st

  • 2:38MTLMichael Pezzetta · Hookingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

2nd

  • 8:26VGKJonathan Marchessault · Hookingdrawn by Rem Pitlick2 min

3rd

  • 4:26VGKZach Whitecloud · Interferencedrawn by Rafael Harvey-Pinard2 min
  • 10:42MTLJohnathan Kovacevic · Fightingdrawn by Alec Martinez5 min
  • 10:42VGKAlec Martinez · Fightingdrawn by Johnathan Kovacevic5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMTL goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, 1st 19:41 — VGK 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.25W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.22C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.21B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.20R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.19I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.12J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.11M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.10S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.07P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.07B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 2.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsVGK
2.53 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.83 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL46%54%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsVGK
28
Shots on goal
28
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
9
30
Hits
31
29
Blocked shots
18
12
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD101-130.25110—26:57
58D. SavardD000+110.03530—24:59
14N. SuzukiC011000.000003122:10
54J. HarrisD000-100.00340—21:58
49R. Harvey-PinardL101050.41250—19:47
17J. AndersonR000-110.31210—19:19
68M. HoffmanC000040.85110017:18
27J. DrouinL011+120.041208617:10
56J. YlonenR011+110.10110—16:58
44J. EdmundsonD011-110.02220—16:38
32R. PitlickC000010.14120015:08
26J. KovacevicD000020.12315—14:29
25D. GurianovR000-220.04010—13:34
28C. DvorakC000000.000406713:26
82F. AllardD000020.04000—11:31
60A. BelzileR101020.093006710:40
67C. TierneyC000-200.00100009:44
55M. PezzettaL011010.06412—07:36
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)28244.8572.70-1.3058:38

Season series

VGK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).