St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the San Jose Sharks 6-3. The Blues came back from two goals down. The Blues led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Brown's goal at 9:30 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.3 to 2.3; shots on goal were STL 23, SJS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Buchnevich (4 A), 2. Colton Parayko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nikita Alexandrov (2 A).
Three stars
- ★P. Buchnevich4 A

- ★★C. Parayko1 G, 1 A

- ★★★N. Alexandrov2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-13:50
0-26:31
2nd period
1-22:35
2-25:21
3-29:30
4-219:00
3rd period
4-36:36
5-314:52
6-317:03
Penalties
2nd
- 4:33
Alexander Barabanov · Trippingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
- 12:57
Sammy Blais · Trippingdrawn by Marc-Edouard Vlasic2 min
- 18:09
Radim Simek · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Alexandrov2 min
3rd
- 5:31
Kevin Labanc · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Logan Brown, 2nd 9:30 — 47% → 66%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.35 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.3
- 2.23 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.6
- 0.32 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 2.25
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 2/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 30
- Hits
- 17
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 9
- Giveaways
- 11
- 13
- Takeaways
- 12
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
