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St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSMW·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the San Jose Sharks 6-3. The Blues came back from two goals down. The Blues led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Brown's goal at 9:30 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.3 to 2.3; shots on goal were STL 23, SJS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Buchnevich (4 A), 2. Colton Parayko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nikita Alexandrov (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich4 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    C. Parayko1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    N. Alexandrov2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0441227623
SJSSJS2100916325

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:50
  2. SJS
    slapxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:31

2nd period

  1. STL
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:35
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou(26)PPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    5:21
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    3-2
    9:30
  4. STL
    B. Schenn(17)PPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    4-2
    19:00

3rd period

  1. SJS
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    4-3
    6:36
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    5-3
    14:52
  3. STL
    snapxG 0.70win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    17:03

Penalties

STL 2 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

2nd

  • 4:33SJSAlexander Barabanov · Trippingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
  • 12:57STLSammy Blais · Trippingdrawn by Marc-Edouard Vlasic2 min
  • 18:09SJSRadim Simek · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Alexandrov2 min

3rd

  • 5:31SJSKevin Labanc · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalSTL goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Logan Brown, 2nd 9:30 — STL 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.23T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.17T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.15L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barabanov · Goal · xG 0.13E. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.13S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.10S. Lorentz · Goal · xG 0.10O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.08N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.08N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.07S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.06N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.06E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.06L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.06F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.05N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.05M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.03L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.00J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 2.3 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsSJS
3.35 G
All situations
3 G2.3
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.32 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL56%44%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsSJS
23
Shots on goal
25
41%
Faceoffs
59%
2/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
17
16
Blocked shots
9
9
Giveaways
11
13
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. LeddyD000+400.00010—23:37
55C. ParaykoD112+420.30110—22:36
72J. FaulkD000-210.02140—21:49
6M. ScandellaD000-210.02300—20:00
10B. SchennC112-110.153205518:08
89P. BuchnevichL044+110.260005017:59
47T. KrugD011-100.01110—17:35
42K. KapanenR101010.75310—16:35
25J. KyrouR112-350.57020—16:28
20B. SaadL000-220.31120—16:19
79S. BlaisL000000.16712—15:26
13A. ToropchenkoR000+210.14100—14:23
59N. AlexandrovC022+220.153002514:23
22L. BrownC101+110.082002513:55
9T. PitlickC101+220.07300013:41
18R. ThomasC000-100.000004312:05
17J. LeivoL011+120.26010—11:56
41R. BortuzzoD000010.02100—11:05
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(W)25223.8802.34-0.6660:00

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).