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Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 0:45 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 47% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 5.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were DAL 36, CHI 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Petr Mrazek stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Roope Hintz (3 G), 2. Miro Heiskanen (2 A), 3. Jamie Benn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Hintz3 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL21601139536
CHICHI1111307221

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(27)PPG
    wristxG 0.23win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    10:21
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.53win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:54
  3. DAL
    R. Hintz(28)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    17:05

2nd period

  1. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    0:26

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +24 pts
    3-2
    0:45
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.47win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    18:35
  3. DAL
    R. Hintz(29)EN
    wristxG 0.95
    5-2
    19:46

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:50CHICaleb Jones · High stickingdrawn by Fredrik Olofsson2 min
  • 12:55DALRoope Hintz · Trippingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 16:00CHIJarred Tinordi · Trippingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min

2nd

  • 6:57CHIConnor Murphy · Holdingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

3rd

  • 14:46DALRoope Hintz · Illegal check to headdrawn by Boris Katchouk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalDAL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, 3rd 0:45 — DAL 47% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Guttman · Goal · xG 0.53T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.14T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.13A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.13J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.12L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.09J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.09B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.09A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.08T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Seney · On goal · xG 0.08B. Seney · On goal · xG 0.06C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.05T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.04T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03C. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02A. Englund · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.02T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02A. Englund · Missed · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · Goal · xG 0.01T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 2.2 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCHI
5.23 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.61 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.92 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL71%29%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.42 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCHI
36
Shots on goal
21
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
26
16
Blocked shots
18
5
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD022-120.07110—25:31
23E. LindellD101+120.57100—21:29
2J. HakanpääD000+110.01130—20:48
20R. SuterD000+100.01000—20:07
21J. RobertsonL022+150.49000—17:07
10T. DellandreaC000000.0021010016:53
91T. SeguinC000010.151003816:39
16J. PavelskiC022+130.701005015:57
12R. FaksaC000000.211105515:55
5N. LundkvistD000020.02140—14:52
27M. MarchmentL000020.28310—14:44
53W. JohnstonC011020.320005614:43
14J. BennL101020.190105014:33
24R. HintzC303+171.700047514:33
44J. HanleyD000000.01130—14:18
63E. DadonovL011020.09300—13:43
42F. OlofssonL000040.32100—12:16
51F. KarlstromC000010.02010011:52
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32M. Murray(W)21192.9052.19+0.1960:00

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).