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Edmonton Oilers at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV SNW, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Harris's goal at 3:54 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 31, MTL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 4.1 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Harris (2 G), 2. Jake Allen (29 saves, .935), 3. Alex Belzile (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Harris2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Allen29 saves, .935
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    A. Belzile1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM08213010231
MTLMTL11431323630

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:14

2nd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:54
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    8:23
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.28win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    12:22
  4. EDM
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    14:59
  5. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    2-4
    18:41

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    2-5
    2:58
  2. MTL
    C. Dvorak(8)SHG
    K. Dach (23)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    9:12

Penalties

EDM 15 PIM·MTL 21 PIM

1st

  • 4:52EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
  • 9:45MTLArber Xhekaj · Interferencedrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 17:02MTLEvgenii Dadonov · Interferencedrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

2nd

  • 6:28EDMCody Ceci · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
  • 9:57MTLArber Xhekaj · Fightingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais5 min
  • 9:57EDMVincent Desharnais · Fightingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj5 min
  • 9:57MTLArber Xhekaj · Cross checkingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 9:57EDMEvander Kane · Cross checkingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
  • 9:57EDMEvander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 9:57MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 10:33MTLJonathan Drouin · Hookingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 12:22MTLJordan Harris · Hookingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 12:54MTLDavid Savard · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 17:34EDMEvan Bouchard · Interferencedrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

3rd

  • 7:52MTLJoel Armia · Hookingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalEDM goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Harris, 2nd 3:54 — MTL 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.24J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.12M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.12K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.11J. Harris · Goal · xG 0.10J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.10A. Belzile · Goal · xG 0.09N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.09E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.09C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.08R. Harvey-Pinard · Goal · xG 0.08C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.07M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.03J. Harris · Goal · xG 0.03J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01A. Belzile · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.00C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.00D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.00J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL6 G · 1.9 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsMTL
3.72 G
All situations
6 G1.9
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.0
2.01 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM78%22%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.64 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsMTL
31
Shots on goal
30
73%
Faceoffs
27%
1/6
Power play
2/3
15
Penalty minutes
21
9
Hits
9
14
Blocked shots
24
13
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC000-370.962027523:51
29L. DraisaitlC101-340.790008322:23
18Z. HymanL011-370.92000—22:20
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000020.220006720:14
91E. KaneL101-110.06014—18:32
27B. KulakD000-110.03010—17:56
22T. BarrieD000-100.00010—17:30
2E. BouchardD022020.15012—16:59
25D. NurseD011-110.07120—16:59
86P. BrobergD000-110.12020—14:52
37W. FoegeleL000020.1421010014:51
5C. CeciD000-110.01102—13:45
73V. DesharnaisD000010.05015—13:42
26M. JanmarkC000000.00110013:20
71R. McLeodC000000.000006713:08
13J. PuljujarviR000010.11120—12:57
55D. HollowayL000+100.0011010012:46
10D. RyanC000-100.070005009:37
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)30246.8001.91-4.0959:16

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).