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Red Wings at Islanders
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
0
New York Islanders
▸2
FinalUBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 4:44 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were DET 23, NYI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Magnus Hellberg stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 23 of 23 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (23 saves, 1.000), 2. Brock Nelson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kyle Palmieri (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin23 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    K. Palmieri2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0501305023
NYINYI09110110229

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(18)
    K. Palmieri (6), B. Nelson (26)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:44

3rd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(19)
    K. Palmieri (7), R. Pulock (14)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:31

Penalties

DET 10 PIM·NYI 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:40DETOlli Maatta · Hookingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 5:22NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Slashingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 12:54DETJoseph Veleno · Cross checkingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

2nd

  • 1:29NYIScott Mayfield · Holdingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 7:10DETJonatan Berggren · Holdingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
  • 13:27NYIZach Parise · Holding the stickdrawn by Gustav Lindstrom2 min
  • 19:14DETDavid Perron · Roughingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min
  • 19:14NYIMatt Martin · Roughingdrawn by David Perron2 min

3rd

  • 0:55NYIMathew Barzal · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 9:14DETPius Suter · Trippingdrawn by Josh Bailey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalDET goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 2nd 4:44 — NYI 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.48M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.38A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.20B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.18A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.15M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.13K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.12A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.12B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.10K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.09M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.08M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.07A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI2 G · 3.6 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYI
2.00 G
All situations
2 G3.6
0.80 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET36%64%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYI
23
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
27
12
Blocked shots
10
6
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000030.06630—25:18
17F. HronekD000040.20110—23:02
71D. LarkinC000-140.680005021:01
18A. CoppC000040.121107020:20
96J. WalmanD000010.07000—19:04
23L. RaymondL000-100.13000—17:59
8B. ChiarotD000000.00330—17:36
14R. FabbriC000-110.13310016:53
59T. BertuzziL000-110.14100—16:49
27M. RasmussenC000000.05100016:34
57D. PerronL000020.21002—16:16
52J. BerggrenR000-100.00002—13:43
2O. MaattaD000-220.06012—12:48
73A. ErneL000000.00500—11:39
90J. VelenoC000-100.000121411:39
81D. KubalikL000010.06000—11:28
28G. LindstromD000-200.01010—11:28
24P. SuterC000000.100024009:43
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45M. Hellberg(L)29272.9312.71+0.7156:40

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).