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Senators at Avalanche
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
0
Colorado Avalanche
▸7
FinalTV ALT, SN1·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Ottawa Senators 7-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Newhook's goal at 7:50 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were OTT 29, COL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 26 of 33 (.788), 3.8 goals below expected; Pavel Francouz stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Francouz (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Mikko Rantanen (2 G), 3. Artturi Lehkonen (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    P. Francouz29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen2 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT01001108029
COLCOL21221437733

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(28)
    N. MacKinnon (31), E. Rodrigues (11)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:45
  2. COL
    A. Newhook(8)
    L. O'Connor (7), A. Cogliano (4)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:50

2nd period

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(10)
    D. Toews (18)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    9:05
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(29)
    A. Newhook (7), S. Girard (8)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    15:57

3rd period

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(11)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (32), C. Makar (29)
    backhandxG 0.09
    0-5
    8:18
  2. COL
    B. Hunt(2)
    A. Englund (3), A. Lehkonen (18)
    slapxG 0.03
    0-6
    15:49
  3. COL
    A. Newhook(9)
    L. O'Connor (8)
    snapxG 0.16
    0-7
    18:10

Penalties

OTT 11 PIM·COL 13 PIM

1st

  • 9:20OTTShane Pinto · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 14:34COLMikko Rantanen · Interferencedrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min

2nd

  • 3:01OTTAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Andreas Englund5 min
  • 3:01COLAndreas Englund · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min

3rd

  • 1:54COLKurtis MacDermid · Cross checkingdrawn by Dylan Gambrell2 min
  • 7:21OTTNick Holden · Holdingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 9:36COLSampo Ranta · High stickingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 18:46OTTTravis Hamonic · Roughingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 18:46COLLogan O'Connor · Roughingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalOTT goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Newhook, 1st 7:50 — COL 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.22A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.21N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.19B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.18A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.16B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.12A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.11A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.08D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.06L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hunt · Goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03A. Englund · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01A. Englund · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.00A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.00E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.00
COL7 G · 3.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCOL
2.30 G
All situations
7 G3.2
1.90 G
Even strength
6 G2.8
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT34%66%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCOL
29
Shots on goal
33
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
1/2
11
Penalty minutes
13
16
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
16
3
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000-250.18000—23:42
72T. ChabotD000-300.04030—23:13
18T. StützleC000-220.320202021:02
19D. BathersonR000-120.19220—20:39
23T. HamonicD000-100.01012—19:55
28C. GirouxR000-150.390007519:35
57S. PintoC000-110.171126719:03
12A. DeBrincatR000-110.15200—18:17
5N. HoldenD000-210.01002—17:37
7B. TkachukL000-210.130003617:35
26E. BrannstromD000-210.01100—16:06
2A. ZubD000-210.02310—13:30
36J. LucchiniC000-220.09100013:27
45P. KellyC000-120.17200012:36
61D. BrassardC000-210.05110011:21
27D. GambrellC000-100.000006710:00
47M. KastelicC000-230.182206109:52
16A. WatsonL000-210.18105—08:19
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(L)33267.7883.23-3.7760:00

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).