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Avalanche at Blackhawks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV ALT, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Taylor Raddysh's goal at 6:36 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were COL 33, CHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Petr Mrazek stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake McCabe, 2. Sam Lafferty (1 G), 3. Petr Mrazek (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    J. McCabe
  2. ★★
    CHI
    S. Lafferty1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Mrazek31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL11119013233
CHICHI1711419330

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:24
  2. COL
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:40

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:44
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    11:47

3rd period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.25win prob +28 pts
    2-3
    6:36

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·CHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 12:01CHIReese Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 15:14CHIAndreas Athanasiou · High sticking double minordrawn by Jacob MacDonald4 min

2nd

  • 5:52COLKurtis MacDermid · Cross checkingdrawn by MacKenzie Entwistle2 min
  • 8:52COLBrad Hunt · Interferencedrawn by Lukas Reichel2 min
  • 13:16COLBen Meyers · Holdingdrawn by Isaak Phillips2 min
  • 15:54CHIConnor Murphy · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 11:17CHIMacKenzie Entwistle · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCOL goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Taylor Raddysh, 3rd 6:36 — CHI 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.26P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.26T. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.25M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.21M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.21J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.18A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.15T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.14A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.13T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.09T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.09L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.09L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.09T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.09S. Lafferty · Goal · xG 0.08I. Phillips · Missed · xG 0.08T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.06T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.05T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.04J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.00S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 3.0 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCHI
3.92 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
1.10 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL63%37%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.78 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCHI
33
Shots on goal
30
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/5
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
18
Hits
31
10
Blocked shots
18
4
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD101040.44110—27:31
7D. ToewsD000+120.28110—25:16
9E. RodriguesC101+140.540003825:13
29N. MacKinnonC022+280.520106124:39
62A. LehkonenL000+120.23210—23:30
96M. RantanenR011020.180003322:56
49S. GirardD000-100.00010—21:44
37J. CompherL000-130.592004421:25
6E. JohnsonD000020.03320—18:08
18A. NewhookC000020.6801010017:07
11A. CoglianoC000-110.03000014:13
25L. O'ConnorR000-110.13100—12:02
17B. HuntD000-110.03002—09:49
56K. MacDermidL000-100.01202—08:18
59B. MeyersC000-100.002123308:13
61M. KautR000-100.00010—07:10
43D. HelmC000-100.002002005:34
26J. MacDonaldD000-110.19200—03:17
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(L)30273.9002.99-0.0157:55

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).