Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Chicago Blackhawks beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Taylor Raddysh's goal at 6:36 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were COL 33, CHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Petr Mrazek stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake McCabe, 2. Sam Lafferty (1 G), 3. Petr Mrazek (31 saves, .939).
Three stars
- ★J. McCabe

- ★★S. Lafferty1 G

- ★★★P. Mrazek31 saves, .939

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-13:24
1-111:40
2nd period
1-21:44
2-211:47
3rd period
2-36:36
Penalties
1st
- 12:01
Reese Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
- 15:14
Andreas Athanasiou · High sticking double minordrawn by Jacob MacDonald4 min
2nd
- 5:52
Kurtis MacDermid · Cross checkingdrawn by MacKenzie Entwistle2 min
- 8:52
Brad Hunt · Interferencedrawn by Lukas Reichel2 min
- 13:16
Ben Meyers · Holdingdrawn by Isaak Phillips2 min
- 15:54
Connor Murphy · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
3rd
- 11:17
MacKenzie Entwistle · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Taylor Raddysh, 3rd 6:36 — 52% → 80%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.92 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.0
- 2.82 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.7
- 1.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.9
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.78 – 2.98
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/5
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 18
- Hits
- 31
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 4
- Giveaways
- 7
- 6
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
