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Predators at Canadiens
NHL

Nashville Predators at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
3
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
FinalTV BSSO, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Nashville Predators 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Forsberg's goal at 0:12 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 31% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.7 to 3.3; shots on goal were NSH 42, MTL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Yaroslav Askarov stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.7 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (2 G), 2. Jonathan Drouin (3 A), 3. Jake Evans (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Drouin3 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Evans1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH18114120342
MTLMTL2191917435

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    N. Niederreiter(13)
    R. Josi (23)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:35
  2. MTL
    J. Evans(2)
    D. Savard (8), J. Edmundson (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    13:30
  3. MTL
    K. Dach(7)
    J. Ylonen (1), J. Drouin (9)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    15:08

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(18)
    M. Duchene (21), J. Parssinen (12)
    wristxG 0.46win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    0:12
  2. MTL
    C. Caufield(24)PPG
    N. Suzuki (20), J. Drouin (10)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    10:03

3rd period

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(25)PPG
    K. Dach (19), J. Drouin (11)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    6:15
  2. NSH
    J. Parssinen(4)
    M. Ekholm (11), C. Glass (8)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +5 pts
    3-4
    18:31

Penalties

NSH 15 PIM·MTL 15 PIM

1st

  • 8:06MTLKirby Dach · Hookingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 12:48MTLChristian Dvorak · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min
  • 12:48NSHRyan Johansen · Interferencedrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
  • 13:56NSHMattias Ekholm · Interferencedrawn by Justin Barron2 min
  • 13:56MTLJustin Barron · Embellishmentdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min

2nd

  • 0:21NSHAlexandre Carrier · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:48NSHColton Sissons · High stickingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 15:13MTLArber Xhekaj · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot5 min
  • 15:13NSHTanner Jeannot · Fightingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj5 min
  • 19:52MTLEvgenii Dadonov · Trippingdrawn by Tommy Novak2 min

3rd

  • 3:32MTLChris Wideman · High stickingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 4:44NSHserved by N. Niederreiter · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNSH goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Filip Forsberg, 2nd 0:12 — NSH 31% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Dach · Goal · xG 0.25J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.21J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.19C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.19E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.17J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.15C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.14J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.14C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.13C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.13C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.12E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.11J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.11J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.11J. Evans · Goal · xG 0.10J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.09K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.08C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.08C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.08J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.06J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.06J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.04J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.04J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Harris · Missed · xG 0.03E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.02C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.01J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Harris · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 3.3 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsMTL
3.73 G
All situations
4 G3.3
3.13 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
0.60 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH54%46%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.59 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsMTL
42
Shots on goal
35
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
2/3
15
Penalty minutes
15
29
Hits
23
17
Blocked shots
26
6
Giveaways
17
0
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011-150.21040—29:11
14M. EkholmD011+220.51002—21:51
27R. McDonaghD000-110.03010—20:09
92R. JohansenC000-110.073024220:01
9F. ForsbergL101-160.63300—19:12
95M. DucheneC011+230.211003319:03
75J. ParssinenC112+220.112005016:38
64M. GranlundC000000.110005016:14
57D. FabbroD000010.01240—14:50
22N. NiederreiterR101+160.63320—14:42
10C. SissonsC000+200.25032014:39
13Y. TreninC000-150.1510010014:33
36C. SmithR000040.39510—13:36
82T. NovakC000+110.120106313:23
3J. LauzonD000020.05110—13:11
45A. CarrierD000+110.06002—12:23
84T. JeannotL000+100.00505—11:58
8C. GlassC011020.153004010:53
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30Y. Askarov(L)35314.8863.33-0.6757:50

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).