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Islanders at Oilers
NHL

New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
FinalTV MSGSN2, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the New York Islanders 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kailer Yamamoto's goal at 18:40 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.6 to 1.1; shots on goal were NYI 22, EDM 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 92% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 34 of 38 (.895); Jack Campbell stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kailer Yamamoto (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    K. Yamamoto1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0421107222
EDMEDM21829011438

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(22)PPG
    C. McDavid (41), R. Nugent-Hopkins (28)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    9:26
  2. EDM
    K. Yamamoto(3)SHG
    C. McDavid (42)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    0-2
    18:40

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(11)
    J. Bailey (11), C. Cizikas (8)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    4:42
  2. EDM
    D. Holloway(2)
    R. McLeod (6), P. Broberg (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    8:34
  3. EDM
    Z. Hyman(18)
    L. Draisaitl (38), R. Nugent-Hopkins (29)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    15:17
  4. NYI
    C. Clutterbuck(4)
    S. Mayfield (5)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    19:07

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:13NYIParker Wotherspoon · Trippingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 7:57NYIAnders Lee · Interferencedrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 17:19EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Hookingdrawn by Hudson Fasching2 min

2nd

  • 16:15EDMDarnell Nurse · Cross checkingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

3rd

  • 1:37EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Slashingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 10:37NYIAatu Räty · Delaying game face off violation2 min
  • 19:11NYIRyan Pulock · Slashingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalNYI goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Kailer Yamamoto, 1st 18:40 — EDM 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.39D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.23L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.21L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.21D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.20D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.20K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.17D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.13J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.13R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.13R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.11C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.07K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.05D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.02P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 4.6 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsEDM
1.12 G
All situations
4 G4.6
0.72 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI8%92%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.09 – 4.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsEDM
22
Shots on goal
38
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
44
Hits
25
20
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
12
15
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD000-130.08210—22:12
6R. PulockD000010.09732—21:20
28A. RomanovD000010.00120—21:20
24S. MayfieldD011+100.00250—19:24
13M. BarzalC101+140.300005018:45
29B. NelsonC000-210.083006018:31
25S. AhoD000-120.03000—18:14
44J. PageauC000000.065305518:11
12J. BaileyR011010.12110—17:24
53C. CizikasC011+110.073204517:12
27A. LeeL000-210.0110210017:01
11Z. PariseL000010.02100—17:00
18A. BeauvillierR000-100.00010—15:07
20H. FaschingR000-200.05100—14:39
38P. WotherspoonD000000.00212—11:50
15C. ClutterbuckR101+120.11710—11:12
17M. MartinL000020.04700—09:01
16A. RätyC000020.031024307:29
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)38344.8954.19+0.1957:50

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).