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Utah Mammoth at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV BSAZ, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Utah Mammoth 6-2. The Coyotes scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Wade Allison's goal at 8:53 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.2 to 1.3; shots on goal were ARI 23, PHI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 28 of 34 (.824), 2.8 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Hayes (1 G, 2 A), 2. Travis Konecny (1 G, 2 A), 3. Morgan Frost (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    K. Hayes1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    M. Frost4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI151909223
PHIPHI01151914634

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:29

2nd period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(20)PPG
    snapxG 0.19win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    0:25
  2. ARI
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:36
  3. PHI
    snapxG 0.31win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    4:41
  4. PHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    8:53
  5. PHI
    K. Hayes (25), C. York (7)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    11:42
  6. PHI
    K. Hayes(10)PPG
    T. Konecny (20), M. Frost (10)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +6 pts
    2-5
    13:49

3rd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.20
    2-6
    15:02

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·PHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 16:37ARIClayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min
  • 19:51ARIJuuso Välimäki · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 12:59ARIserved by N. Ritchie · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 17:40PHIOwen Tippett · Trippingdrawn by Travis Boyd2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalARI goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Wade Allison, 2nd 8:53 — PHI 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.31J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.20T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.19J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.17S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.16M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.15P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.14J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.14R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.14W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.12M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.11I. Provorov · Goal · xG 0.11K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.09T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.09J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.08T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.07W. Allison · Goal · xG 0.07M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.06T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.06T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.06N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.04W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.04P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.03Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.03C. York · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.03W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.00N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI6 G · 3.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsPHI
1.32 G
All situations
6 G3.2
1.32 G
Even strength
4 G2.9
0.00 G
Power play
2 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI17%83%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.28 – 3.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsPHI
23
Shots on goal
34
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
26
Hits
21
17
Blocked shots
15
5
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14S. GostisbehereD000000.04020—23:29
6J. ChychrunD000-230.05240—21:48
29B. HaytonC022+220.072103819:25
8N. SchmaltzC011-210.1200010018:58
72T. BoydC000-400.000003818:23
9C. KellerR000-320.23002—18:04
2P. NemethD000+110.01430—17:19
4J. VälimäkiD000-110.02102—17:13
51T. StecherD000000.00020—17:08
22J. McBainC000030.065005016:45
36C. FischerR000010.01310—16:05
12N. RitchieL101+120.15220—15:43
17N. BjugstadC000010.092005515:08
67L. CrouseL000010.11110—14:34
3J. BrownD000-220.12010—13:02
53M. CarconeL101010.17300—12:55
90J. MoserD000010.03100—10:55
44Z. KassianR000010.01000—09:42
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)34286.8243.21-2.7960:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).