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Penguins at Islanders
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 0:50 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 4.0 to 1.1; shots on goal were PIT 21, NYI 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 91% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 37 of 42 (.881), 1.0 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 20 of 21 (.952). Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (2 G), 2. Anders Lee (2 G), 3. Josh Bailey (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Barzal2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Lee2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    J. Bailey1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT1120405121
NYINYI11432018542

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(12)
    B. Nelson (20)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:03
  2. PIT
    P. Joseph(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:13

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(6)
    H. Fasching (1), J. Bailey (9)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    0:50
  2. NYI
    J. Bailey(6)
    N. Dobson (14), A. Romanov (11)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    11:32
  3. NYI
    M. Barzal(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    16:42

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(13)
    B. Nelson (21), R. Pulock (12)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    3:33

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

1st

  • 5:11PITKris Letang · Interferencedrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 9:50NYIAnthony Beauvillier · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min

3rd

  • 9:20PITSidney Crosby · Cross checkingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 17:57PITJeff Carter · Trippingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalPIT goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 2nd 0:50 — NYI 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.25B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.21C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.19J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.17J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.14A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.14A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.13B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.13M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.13C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.12J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.12B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.10B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.09J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.08M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.08H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.07Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.06M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.06M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.06N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.06S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI5 G · 4.0 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYI
1.11 G
All situations
5 G4.0
1.11 G
Even strength
5 G2.9
0.00 G
Power play
0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT9%91%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.05 – 3.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYI
21
Shots on goal
42
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
20
19
Blocked shots
15
15
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-310.00212—25:48
28M. PetterssonD000-200.25020—24:33
44J. RuttaD000-220.05120—22:23
8B. DumoulinD000-310.03320—21:49
67R. RakellR000000.07210—20:17
73P. JosephD101+130.07130—19:05
87S. CrosbyC000-120.070124518:14
59J. GuentzelC000-110.03030018:06
23B. McGinnL000-100.08100—15:23
53T. BluegerC000-120.021205615:14
77J. CarterC000-110.072024514:52
71E. MalkinC000-220.040006714:50
17B. RustR000-320.05110—14:09
16J. ZuckerL000-220.20100—13:56
42K. KapanenR000010.00100—10:40
43D. HeinenL000010.01110—09:42
10D. O'ConnorL000000.03000—09:32
2C. RuhwedelD000+100.00000—05:28
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(L)42375.8813.97-1.0360:00

Season series

NYI leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).