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Panthers at Islanders
NHL

Florida Panthers at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV BSFLX, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Florida Panthers 5-1. The Panthers scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Pulock's goal at 19:15 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 4.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were FLA 23, NYI 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 38 of 42 (.905); Ilya Sorokin stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Beauvillier (2 G, 1 A), 2. Anders Lee (2 A), 3. Zach Parise (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Lee2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    Z. Parise1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA180609123
NYINYI012216315543

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(15)
    B. Montour (21)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    8:09

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(7)
    N. Dobson (13), B. Nelson (19)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:20
  2. NYI
    R. Pulock(2)
    J. Pageau (12)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +23 pts
    1-2
    19:15

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Räty(1)
    A. Lee (14), A. Beauvillier (8)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    7:10
  2. NYI
    Z. Parise(11)
    A. Romanov (10)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    8:21
  3. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(8)EN
    A. Lee (15)
    wristxG 0.67
    1-5
    15:50

Penalties

FLA 29 PIM·NYI 23 PIM

1st

  • 0:52FLAserved by G. Denisenko · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:16NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Roughingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 7:16FLAAaron Ekblad · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
  • 9:38FLANick Cousins · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
  • 10:55NYINoah Dobson · Hookingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 12:06FLASam Reinhart · High stickingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 14:11FLAGivani Smith · Fightingdrawn by Matt Martin5 min
  • 14:11NYIMatt Martin · Fightingdrawn by Givani Smith5 min
  • 15:54FLAGustav Forsling · Holding the stickdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min

2nd

  • 5:20NYIBrock Nelson · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 14:00NYINoah Dobson · Cross checkingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 19:57FLACarter Verhaeghe · Slashingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min

3rd

  • 18:07NYIMatt Martin · Misconductdrawn by Brandon Montour10 min
  • 18:07FLABrandon Montour · Misconductdrawn by Matt Martin10 min
  • 18:53FLAGivani Smith · Roughingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalFLA goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Pulock, 2nd 19:15 — NYI 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.67Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.22J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.21M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.19A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.18J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.15H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.15A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.15A. Räty · Goal · xG 0.15A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.14B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.14O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.12J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.11S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.11J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.09M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.06O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.04M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.04O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.04R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.03A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.03O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.03A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Goal · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI5 G · 4.8 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNYI
2.21 G
All situations
4 G4.8
1.41 G
Even strength
4 G2.9
0.50 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA20%80%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 4.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNYI
23
Shots on goal
43
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
0/6
29
Penalty minutes
23
15
Hits
16
20
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
2
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD011-430.171210—29:41
42G. ForslingD000-110.04112—28:33
18M. StaalD000-110.03150—23:00
9S. BennettC000-140.591105021:24
13S. ReinhartC000000.310025019:34
27E. LuostarinenC000-110.06110017:54
12E. StaalC000-430.160105017:27
19M. TkachukL101010.321005016:40
23C. VerhaegheC000010.17102016:34
15A. LundellC000020.030103316:11
28J. MahuraD000-120.03110—15:28
3M. KierstedD000000.00010—13:43
94R. LombergL000-430.15220—12:45
21N. CousinsC000-300.0002210010:13
14G. DenisenkoL000-100.00100—09:27
22Z. DalpeC000-100.000107508:29
54G. SmithR000010.11407—07:01
5A. EkbladD000000.00012—04:04
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)42384.9054.16+0.1658:45

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).