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St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV BSMW, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan Walker's goal at 13:02 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.7 to 3.1; shots on goal were STL 27, VAN 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Spencer Martin stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Kyrou (3 G, 1 A), 2. Robert Thomas (1 G, 1 A), 3. Vladimir Tarasenko (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Kyrou3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0123827527
VANVAN011110013134

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    10:25
  2. VAN
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    12:24
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    13:02
  4. STL
    R. Thomas(8)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    18:50

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(15)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    1:07
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    9:19

Penalties

STL 10 PIM·VAN 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:20STLColton Parayko · Trippingdrawn by Ilya Mikheyev2 min
  • 5:08STLColton Parayko · Cross checkingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
  • 10:33VANJ.T. Miller · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

2nd

  • 7:13STLPavel Buchnevich · High stickingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 17:34VANLuke Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Josh Leivo2 min
  • 19:22VANserved by C. Garland · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 6:30STLJosh Leivo · Hookingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 20:00VANKyle Burroughs · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min
  • 20:00STLNathan Walker · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Kyle Burroughs2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalSTL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Nathan Walker, 2nd 13:02 — STL 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.29J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.27D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.27B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.22I. Mikheyev · Goal · xG 0.21J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.17J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.14B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.11C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.11L. Pederson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Aman · Missed · xG 0.10J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.10B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.09J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.09T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.07L. Pederson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06S. Dries · Missed · xG 0.05J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.04S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01L. Pederson · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.01C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.00T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN1 G · 3.7 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVAN
3.15 G
All situations
1 G3.7
2.43 G
Even strength
1 G2.8
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL41%59%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 3.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVAN
27
Shots on goal
34
55%
Faceoffs
45%
2/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
26
6
Blocked shots
9
1
Giveaways
6
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD011050.11114—24:58
4N. LeddyD022+210.15100—20:08
72J. FaulkD000010.05110—20:07
47T. KrugD011+120.09100—18:18
20B. SaadL000+110.23000—17:55
49I. BarbashevL011-110.1410010017:37
18R. ThomasC112+110.230005617:31
89P. BuchnevichL000010.10002—17:25
25J. KyrouR314+150.62000—17:15
90R. O'ReillyC000000.000006716:50
41R. BortuzzoD000010.31210—16:33
91V. TarasenkoR033+220.31000—15:17
77N. MikkolaD000+110.03210—15:10
10B. SchennC000010.141005013:44
17J. LeivoL000000.18402—11:41
52N. AcciariC000+110.10210011:13
26N. WalkerL101+110.07002—10:18
13A. ToropchenkoR000020.23510—10:10
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)34331.9713.69+2.6959:49

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).