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Avalanche at Blues
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
St. Louis Blues
2
Final/OTTV SN360, TVAS·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, Mikko Rantanen scoring at 0:29. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 0:29 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were COL 31, STL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Jordan Binnington stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (3 G), 2. Pavel Francouz (30 saves, .938), 3. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen3 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    P. Francouz30 saves, .938
  3. ★★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL0101811112331
STLSTL0901121200232

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(17)
    A. Newhook (5), B. Hunt (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    10:58

3rd period

  1. STL
    V. Tarasenko(8)PPG
    R. O'Reilly (6), R. Thomas (19)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    8:01
  2. STL
    B. Saad(6)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +48 pts
    1-2
    18:24
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(18)
    J. Compher (11), D. Toews (15)
    deflectedxG 0.37win prob +45 pts
    2-2
    19:51

Overtime

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(19)
    C. Makar (19), V. Nichushkin (6)
    wristxG 0.52win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    0:29

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:08COLAlex Newhook · Holdingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 8:35COLDevon Toews · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:28STLRobert Thomas · Holdingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

2nd

  • 7:37STLColton Parayko · Slashingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

3rd

  • 7:52COLCale Makar · High sticking double minordrawn by Jordan Kyrou4 min
  • 17:18STLBrayden Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCOL goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, OT 0:29 — COL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.17B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.15T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.11B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.06N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.01J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.00T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 1.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSTL
3.13 G
All situations
2 G1.7
2.23 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL75%25%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 1.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSTL
31
Shots on goal
32
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
26
11
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
6
11
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011+160.38114—26:13
7D. ToewsD011+110.02012—25:09
37J. CompherL011020.170103923:40
13V. NichushkinR011+110.04200—22:57
96M. RantanenR303+251.160104722:04
49S. GirardD000020.11110—21:02
62A. LehkonenL000010.0412010020:20
6E. JohnsonD000+120.09020—18:05
25L. O'ConnorR000010.07000—16:04
18A. NewhookC011010.161022515:14
88A. EnglundD000000.01410—15:01
11A. CoglianoC000030.10100014:40
54C. HudonL000+110.17400—13:13
59B. MeyersC000000.032104011:47
93J. FoudyC000+120.37100011:23
17B. HuntD011+130.14000—10:57
26J. MacDonaldD000000.00100—04:29
22D. HuntL000000.00200—04:10
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(W)32302.9381.69-0.3159:19

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).