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San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV NBCSCA, SN1·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Sharks scored first; the Senators answered. The Senators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Stützle's goal at 16:40 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 57% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.6 to 3.0; shots on goal were SJS 37, OTT 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 2.0 goals below expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Claude Giroux (2 G, 1 A), 2. Anton Forsberg (35 saves, .946), 3. Tim Stützle (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    C. Giroux2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    A. Forsberg35 saves, .946
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Stützle1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS210012015237
OTTOTT11421629539

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    T. Hertl(8)PPG
    wristxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    7:26
  2. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(12)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    10:25
  3. SJS
    snapxG 0.30win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    11:03

2nd period

  1. OTT
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    2-2
    5:22
  2. OTT
    snapxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    16:40

3rd period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(4)PPG
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    5:18
  2. OTT
    slapxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    15:45

Penalties

SJS 17 PIM·OTT 15 PIM

1st

  • 6:56OTTBrady Tkachuk · High stickingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 8:39SJSOskar Lindblom · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

2nd

  • 2:56SJSJonah Gadjovich · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
  • 2:56OTTMark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich5 min
  • 12:28OTTDrake Batherson · Slashingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
  • 15:48SJSRadim Simek · Holdingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 19:45SJSKevin Labanc · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

3rd

  • 3:47SJSJonah Gadjovich · Slashingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 6:13SJSKevin Labanc · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 9:14OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:54OTTAlex DeBrincat · Roughingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 12:54SJSTomas Hertl · Roughingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 13:28OTTThomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalSJS goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Tim Stützle, 2nd 16:40 — OTT 57% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.23C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.22D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.20T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.15C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.15B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.14A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.13D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.12S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.12D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.11T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.10S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.06T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.06D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.06T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.06T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 3.0 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsOTT
3.62 G
All situations
5 G3.0
1.81 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.81 G
Power play
3 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS58%42%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.42 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsOTT
37
Shots on goal
39
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/4
Power play
3/5
17
Penalty minutes
15
24
Hits
25
21
Blocked shots
11
16
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD011010.32000—23:36
44M. VlasicD000-120.08120—21:24
5M. BenningD000-110.02240—21:09
24J. MegnaD000+100.00210—20:05
28T. MeierR011-160.67110—19:48
39L. CoutureC000-150.561003818:09
48T. HertlC202-150.732124718:08
13N. BoninoC000010.071104018:05
11L. KuninC000000.07220017:28
94A. BarabanovL011-150.42000—17:05
62K. LabancR011010.04204—15:25
83M. NietoL000030.04000—15:13
51R. SimekD000010.01142—14:00
59N. CicekD000000.00430—12:46
73N. GregorL000010.16110—10:59
16S. LorentzC000030.320105009:25
23O. LindblomL000020.07002—08:55
42J. GadjovichL000000.01407—08:11
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36K. Kahkonen(L)39345.8722.99-2.0160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).