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Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins

Final/OTTV NHLN, BSSO·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2 in overtime, David Pastrnak scoring at 3:19. The Bruins came back from two goals down. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 3:19 of overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were CAR 36, BOS 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 38 of 41 (.927), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A), 2. David Krejci (2 G), 3. Charlie McAvoy.

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Krejci2 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    C. McAvoy

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR2160601103236
BOSBOS0911311613341

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Noesen(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    6:34
  2. CAR
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    15:05

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    19:29

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.01win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    10:27

Overtime

  1. BOS
    slapxG 0.04win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    3:19

Penalties

CAR 12 PIM·BOS 12 PIM

1st

  • 5:59BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Slashingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 13:24BOSCraig Smith · Hookingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min
  • 16:38BOSDavid Pastrnak · High sticking double minordrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi4 min
  • 19:22CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
  • 19:52CARJack Drury · Interferencedrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

2nd

  • 2:06CARJack Drury · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
  • 6:50BOSCraig Smith · High stickingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

3rd

  • 1:32BOSConnor Clifton · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 8:26CARJordan Staal · Holding the stickdrawn by Patrice Bergeron2 min
  • 18:59CARAndrei Svechnikov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

OT

  • 2:56CARserved by A. Svechnikov · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalCAR goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: David Pastrnak, OT 3:19 — BOS 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.21P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.20D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.18D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.18J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.17T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.17P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.16C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.16P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.16T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.13B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.13D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.13T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.12P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.10B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.08C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.07N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.06C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.06B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.05D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.04B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.02B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.01
BOS3 G · 3.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsBOS
2.32 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.00 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
1.32 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR28%72%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 3.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsBOS
36
Shots on goal
41
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/6
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
12
27
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
3
8
Giveaways
13
11
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000060.13110—24:59
22B. PesceD011-220.07220—24:42
74J. SlavinD000000.00120—23:44
76B. SkjeiD000-220.07010—22:19
88M. NecasC000-140.371102521:03
20S. AhoC011-130.340006520:38
37A. SvechnikovR011000.00504—19:21
11J. StaalC000-210.012124819:20
48J. MartinookL000-210.00100—17:19
24S. JarvisR011020.12010—17:05
18J. DruryC000020.052145016:00
71J. FastR000010.21300—15:38
82J. KotkaniemiC101030.412102515:10
5J. ChatfieldD000010.01210—10:44
44C. de HaanD000020.03220—10:26
23S. NoesenR101030.21100—09:21
26P. StastnyC000000.162004007:58
21D. StepanC000030.13000005:28
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(O)41383.9273.63+0.6363:19

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).