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Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers

FinalTV NESN, BSFL·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Boston Bruins 5-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anton Lundell's goal at 4:41 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were BOS 39, FLA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.3 goals below expected; Spencer Knight stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Spencer Knight (37 saves, .949), 3. Aaron Ekblad (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Knight37 saves, .949
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS11901119239
FLAFLA1931814531

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.16win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    1:49
  2. BOS
    C. McAvoy(2)PPG
    slapxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    17:14

2nd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    4:41
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(5)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    15:31
  3. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    19:46

3rd period

  1. BOS
    slapxG 0.17win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    6:20
  2. FLA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.38win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    17:50

Penalties

BOS 14 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 1:20BOSCharlie Coyle · Trippingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 16:13FLARyan Lomberg · Slashingdrawn by Jakub Zboril2 min
  • 17:08FLAAnton Lundell · High sticking double minordrawn by David Pastrnak4 min

2nd

  • 5:35BOSNick Foligno · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 6:14BOSCharlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 14:15BOSConnor Clifton · Holdingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 18:44BOSHampus Lindholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min

3rd

  • 5:00FLAColin White · Holdingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 5:26FLAEetu Luostarinen · High sticking double minordrawn by Charlie McAvoy4 min
  • 8:01BOSBrad Marchand · Interferencedrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 11:53BOSDavid Krejci · Hookingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalBOS goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Anton Lundell, 2nd 4:41 — FLA 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.38C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.18A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.17S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.16C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.15A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.12E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.09R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.07E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.05E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.05S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03C. White · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA5 G · 3.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsFLA
3.52 G
All situations
4 G3.1
2.60 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.92 G
Power play
3 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS62%38%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.47 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsFLA
39
Shots on goal
31
59%
Faceoffs
41%
2/6
Power play
3/7
14
Penalty minutes
12
21
Hits
28
11
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27H. LindholmD000-120.07332—24:16
73C. McAvoyD101030.24002—23:53
88D. PastrnakR101040.4511010020:59
25B. CarloD000010.01330—20:39
46D. KrejciC011010.150124419:05
37P. BergeronC000-140.250106018:17
48M. GrzelcykD000000.00000—17:31
71T. HallL000-130.29000—17:16
18P. ZachaC000-110.08010017:13
75C. CliftonD000-210.13502—16:57
63B. MarchandL011-150.4900210016:16
74J. DeBruskL011-130.11000—15:11
13C. CoyleC000-130.570025713:55
92T. NosekL000020.031007312:19
17N. FolignoL000020.42312—12:16
12C. SmithC000-120.10200009:18
10A. GreerL000020.15200—07:50
67J. ZborilD000-100.00100—07:17
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)30264.8672.75-1.2558:45

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).