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Utah Mammoth at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Boqvist's goal at 11:19 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.1 to 1.6; shots on goal were ARI 18, NJD 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.4 goals below expected; Akira Schmid stopped 16 of 18 (.889). Three stars: 1. Tomas Tatar (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jack Hughes (1 G), 3. Akira Schmid (16 saves, .889).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    T. Tatar1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Hughes1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    A. Schmid16 saves, .889

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI191405218
NJDNJD2621307426

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:29
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:04
  3. NJD
    snapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    9:27

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(5)PPG
    T. Boyd (7), J. Moser (7)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    8:19
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.11win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    11:19
  3. NJD
    slapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    14:15

Penalties

ARI 18 PIM·NJD 12 PIM

1st

  • 7:08NJDErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min
  • 13:59ARINick Ritchie · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Akira Schmid2 min
  • 18:51ARIJ.J. Moser · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min

2nd

  • 1:21ARIserved by D. Guenther · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 2:50NJDJesper Bratt · Holdingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
  • 3:10ARITroy Stecher · Hookingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min
  • 7:37NJDDougie Hamilton · Hookingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 13:18ARILiam O'Brien · Roughingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 13:18ARILiam O'Brien · Roughingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 13:18NJDMiles Wood · Roughingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min
  • 15:55NJDFabian Zetterlund · Holdingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min

3rd

  • 6:32ARIJ.J. Moser · Interferencedrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 10:49ARIMatias Maccelli · Slashingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 14:51NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Holdingdrawn by Travis Boyd2 min
  • 15:50ARIClayton Keller · Slashingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalARI goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Jesper Boqvist, 2nd 11:19 — NJD 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.47N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.24T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.20J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.12N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.12J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.12J. Boqvist · Goal · xG 0.11D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.09J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.09J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.09T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.09J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.08D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.07M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.05D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 3.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsNJD
1.62 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.00 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.52 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI30%70%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.57 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsNJD
18
Shots on goal
26
42%
Faceoffs
58%
2/4
Power play
1/8
18
Penalty minutes
12
18
Hits
12
10
Blocked shots
6
3
Giveaways
3
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
90J. MoserD011-120.05104—22:39
14S. GostisbehereD000-100.02200—21:18
67L. CrouseL000010.18000—20:15
3J. BrownD000-200.00110—19:43
9C. KellerR101020.33012—19:39
17N. BjugstadC000000.191003019:17
4J. VälimäkiD011-100.00010—17:15
36C. FischerR000-330.20010—16:58
2P. NemethD000020.03210—16:07
29B. HaytonC000-120.011105415:48
72T. BoydC011000.060004615:27
63M. MaccelliL011030.22002—14:43
12N. RitchieL000-210.09202—13:59
51T. StecherD000010.08122—13:48
22J. McBainC000-200.006004712:30
11D. GuentherR101010.09000—11:24
38L. O'BrienC000-100.00004008:34
61D. MayoD000-100.00120—07:28
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)26224.8462.64-1.3658:11

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).