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Wild at Ducks
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Anaheim Ducks
1
FinalTV TNT, BSW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Ducks scored first; the Wild answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Dumba's goal at 1:41 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 39, ANA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.4 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 35 of 39 (.897). Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G), 2. Pavol Regenda (1 G), 3. Filip Gustavsson (31 saves, .969).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    P. Regenda1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson31 saves, .969

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN01518316439
ANAANA01211307132

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. ANA
    P. Regenda(1)
    F. Vatrano (2), D. Kulikov (4)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    0-1
    13:24
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(9)PPG
    M. Boldy (5), C. Addison (8)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    16:37

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Dumba(1)
    C. Dewar (4), M. Shaw (2)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +25 pts
    2-1
    1:41
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(10)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (8), J. Eriksson Ek (6)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    3:23
  3. MIN
    J. Cramarossa(1)
    T. Jost (3)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +4 pts
    4-1
    11:42

Penalties

MIN 53 PIM·ANA 57 PIM

1st

  • 6:19MINTyson Jost · Trippingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 19:22ANANathan Beaulieu · Roughingdrawn by Adam Beckman2 min

2nd

  • 1:20ANADmitry Kulikov · Hookingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 4:12ANANathan Beaulieu · Fightingdrawn by Connor Dewar5 min
  • 4:12MINConnor Dewar · Fightingdrawn by Nathan Beaulieu5 min
  • 6:58MINMathew Dumba · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 10:07MINMatt Boldy · Roughingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 10:07ANAMax Jones · Roughingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 10:07MINMatt Boldy · Roughingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 16:24ANAMax Jones · Hookingdrawn by Frederick Gaudreau2 min

3rd

  • 2:22ANAJohn Klingberg · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 3:01ANASimon Benoit · Holdingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 4:56ANAJohn Klingberg · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:20ANARyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 14:20MINMathew Dumba · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 18:59MINMason Shaw · Roughingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 18:59ANAMaxime Comtois · Roughingdrawn by Mason Shaw2 min
  • 18:59ANATrevor Zegras · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:59MINJake Middleton · Roughingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 18:59MINConnor Dewar · Roughingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 18:59ANATrevor Zegras · Roughingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
  • 18:59ANASimon Benoit · Roughingdrawn by Mason Shaw2 min
  • 18:59MINMason Shaw · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:59MINConnor Dewar · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:59ANAMaxime Comtois · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:59ANASimon Benoit · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:59MINJake Middleton · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:59MINJake Middleton · Roughingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalMIN goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Mathew Dumba, 3rd 1:41 — MIN 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.20M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.15P. Regenda · Goal · xG 0.15T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.13T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.12T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.11J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.10M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.09R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.09J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.09T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.08T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.08B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.07T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.06T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.05T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.05M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.04M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.04T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.03M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.03M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.03M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02G. Gawdin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.02M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.02M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 2.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsANA
3.94 G
All situations
1 G2.4
3.02 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.92 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN73%27%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.83 – 2.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsANA
39
Shots on goal
32
50%
Faceoffs
50%
2/6
Power play
0/4
53
Penalty minutes
57
16
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
13
8
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97K. KaprizovL202-190.98100—22:44
36M. ZuccarelloR011-130.37000—22:14
25J. BrodinD000+100.00120—22:12
24M. DumbaD101+130.31124—21:24
14J. Eriksson EkC011050.610005621:07
12M. BoldyL011010.09104—19:37
46J. SpurgeonD000+120.14110—19:07
2C. AddisonD011-130.08010—18:26
4J. MerrillD000-130.12100—16:35
89F. GaudreauC000010.071106416:13
5J. MiddletonD000+100.002314—15:11
23M. RossiC000000.230102914:02
53A. BeckmanL000020.25000—12:39
58M. ShawC011+120.082112010:52
13S. SteelC000+110.191004310:17
26C. DewarC011+130.242017010:15
10T. JostC011+100.00002009:35
56J. CramarossaC101+110.13200008:29
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)32311.9692.41+1.4160:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).