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Maple Leafs at Sharks
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
3
San Jose Sharks
▸4
Final/OTTV NBCSCA, SNO·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in overtime, Erik Karlsson scoring at 0:57. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Karlsson's goal at 0:57 of overtime, which took the Sharks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were TOR 25, SJS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Erik Kallgren stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.5 goals below expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Erik Karlsson (1 G, 2 A), 2. Logan Couture (2 G, 1 A), 3. Auston Matthews (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    E. Karlsson1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    L. Couture2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR191611000325
SJSSJS1521401012431

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    L. Couture(3)
    M. Nieto (3), A. Barabanov (2)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:26
  2. TOR
    D. Kampf(3)
    A. Kerfoot (2), M. Marner (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:14

2nd period

  1. SJS
    L. Couture(4)PPG
    A. Barabanov (3), E. Karlsson (4)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    5:15
  2. SJS
    T. Meier(1)PPG
    L. Couture (3), E. Karlsson (5)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    5:57
  3. TOR
    M. Marner(2)
    M. Rielly (6), A. Kerfoot (3)
    tip-inxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    19:37

3rd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(2)PPG
    M. Rielly (7), J. Tavares (6)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +25 pts
    3-3
    5:38

Overtime

  1. SJS
    E. Karlsson(4)
    T. Meier (3)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    0:57

Penalties

TOR 8 PIM·SJS 10 PIM

1st

  • 16:28SJSserved by J. Gadjovich · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 2:20SJSRadim Simek · Trippingdrawn by Victor Mete2 min
  • 4:33TORPierre Engvall · Hookingdrawn by Evgeny Svechnikov2 min
  • 4:33TORTJ Brodie · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 9:47TORJustin Holl · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:05SJSJonah Gadjovich · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 3:05TORMichael Bunting · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich2 min
  • 4:55SJSErik Karlsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:49SJSErik Karlsson · Hookingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalTOR goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Erik Karlsson, OT 0:57 — SJS 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.29M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.18T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.17L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.16L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.11E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.10T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.09E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.09E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.09T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.07M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.04M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.02R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.02R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.00L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS4 G · 2.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsSJS
2.13 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR42%58%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsSJS
25
Shots on goal
31
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
11
Hits
25
10
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
14
12
Takeaways
21

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD022+220.10110—25:02
78T. BrodieD000000.00112—22:56
16M. MarnerR112+110.20300—22:02
34A. MatthewsC101070.561104320:22
3J. HollD000000.00012—19:14
91J. TavaresC011-130.230106318:25
55M. GiordanoD000010.01040—18:20
88W. NylanderR000-100.06000—17:51
38R. SandinD000-210.09100—17:16
15A. KerfootC022+100.03010015:56
58M. BuntingL000010.26002—15:22
64D. KampfC101+140.140005713:28
47P. EngvallL000010.17202—12:28
89N. RobertsonL000010.06000—12:08
98V. MeteD000+100.00000—12:04
12Z. Aston-ReeseL000010.13200—11:42
19C. JarnkrokC000000.000002011:26
62D. MalginC000020.05000010:47
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50E. Kallgren(O)31274.8712.54-1.4660:57

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).