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Maple Leafs at Golden Knights
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, TSN4·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chandler Stephenson's goal at 0:42 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were TOR 23, VGK 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Phil Kessel (1 A), 2. Chandler Stephenson (1 G), 3. Nicolas Roy (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    P. Kessel1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    N. Roy1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR0101706123
VGKVGK19012212333

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    N. Roy(1)PPG
    R. Smith (3), P. Kessel (2)
    batxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    3:51

2nd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(4)
    J. Tavares (5), N. Robertson (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    11:42

3rd period

  1. VGK
    C. Stephenson(3)
    B. McNabb (2), S. Theodore (3)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +24 pts
    1-2
    0:42
  2. VGK
    M. Amadio(1)
    N. Hague (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    8:11

Penalties

TOR 6 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:52TORserved by P. Engvall · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:40VGKReilly Smith · Trippingdrawn by William Nylander2 min

2nd

  • 8:32TORMark Giordano · Slashingdrawn by Phil Kessel2 min

3rd

  • 11:29TORAlexander Kerfoot · Trippingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min
  • 17:17VGKBrayden McNabb · High stickingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalTOR goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Chandler Stephenson, 3rd 0:42 — VGK 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.54C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.23J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.21J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.20N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.17C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.16W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.14B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.14J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.13N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.12J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.11N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.11M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.11M. Amadio · Goal · xG 0.10M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.10C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.09R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.08C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.07W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.06C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.06B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.06S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.05A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.02R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 4.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsVGK
2.31 G
All situations
3 G4.1
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G3.6
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR23%77%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 3.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsVGK
23
Shots on goal
33
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
34
18
Blocked shots
29
7
Giveaways
4
8
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16M. MarnerR000010.35000—26:45
34A. MatthewsC000050.412005022:32
44M. RiellyD000-100.18020—22:04
3J. HollD000000.00240—21:08
58M. BuntingL000-140.32500—20:45
78T. BrodieD000-200.00110—20:32
88W. NylanderR101020.32000—18:59
38R. SandinD000000.00110—17:28
91J. TavaresC011030.211105716:35
55M. GiordanoD000+130.16132—16:04
98V. MeteD000000.00110—16:00
89N. RobertsonL011010.19130—15:03
15A. KerfootC000010.020023314:00
19C. JarnkrokC000000.002103312:10
64D. KampfC000-100.002105012:01
47P. EngvallL000020.0400010011:35
24W. SimmondsR000-110.01600—07:40
43K. CliffordL000000.07400—06:43
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35I. Samsonov(L)33303.9094.09+1.0955:57

Season series

VGK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).