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Predators at Blue Jackets
NHL

Nashville Predators at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
3
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸5
FinalTV BSSO, BSOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Nashville Predators 5-3. The Blue Jackets came back from two goals down. The Predators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Blankenburg's goal at 18:37 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 52% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were NSH 26, CBJ 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 37 of 41 (.902), 0.6 goals below expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Blankenburg (1 G, 1 A), 2. Johnny Gaudreau (2 G), 3. Justin Danforth (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    N. Blankenburg1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    J. Gaudreau2 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    J. Danforth1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH291908326
CBJCBJ010115417542

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    T. Jeannot(2)
    C. Sissons (2), Y. Trenin (1)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:16
  2. NSH
    R. Johansen(2)
    M. Ekholm (2), N. Niederreiter (1)
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    10:45

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    J. Bean(1)
    K. Johnson (2), E. Chinakhov (3)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    16:09
  2. NSH
    Y. Trenin(1)
    T. Jeannot (1), C. Sissons (3)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    17:38

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    J. Gaudreau(3)
    N. Blankenburg (1)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    0:38
  2. CBJ
    J. Danforth(2)
    E. Chinakhov (4), A. Peeke (1)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +35 pts
    3-3
    12:07
  3. CBJ
    N. Blankenburg(1)
    J. Voracek (3), J. Roslovic (1)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +45 pts
    3-4
    18:37
  4. CBJ
    J. Gaudreau(4)EN
    G. Nyquist (1)
    snapxG 0.58win prob +2 pts
    3-5
    19:14

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·CBJ 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:47CBJAndrew Peeke · Interferencedrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 11:46CBJEric Robinson · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 19:51CBJErik Gudbranson · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

2nd

  • 5:03NSHMark Borowiecki · Slashingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 14:09NSHTanner Jeannot · Interferencedrawn by Justin Danforth2 min
  • 18:26CBJAndrew Peeke · Holdingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min

3rd

  • 3:56CBJJake Bean · Holdingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 4:26NSHMatt Duchene · Slashingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalNSH goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Blankenburg, 3rd 18:37 — CBJ 52% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.58K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.27B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.21N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.19J. Danforth · Goal · xG 0.18B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.17J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.16J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.14J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.14J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.11G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.10B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.09E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.09B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.09J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.08B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.08B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.07N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.07J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bean · Goal · xG 0.06C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.06K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.05N. Blankenburg · Goal · xG 0.04B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.04J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.04B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.03E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.03S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.03J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.03S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.01E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.00K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 4.0 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCBJ
2.53 G
All situations
4 G4.0
2.13 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH34%66%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 3.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCBJ
26
Shots on goal
42
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/5
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
15
Hits
28
19
Blocked shots
20
6
Giveaways
3
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-230.13030—26:51
64M. GranlundC000-220.161204023:00
95M. DucheneC000-240.4200210020:45
9F. ForsbergL000-210.32010—20:03
14M. EkholmD011+110.02110—19:35
27R. McDonaghD000+130.07220—19:29
57D. FabbroD000-110.03030—17:01
92R. JohansenC101-110.360005516:59
22N. NiederreiterR011-100.0022010015:45
45A. CarrierD000-100.00020—15:23
10C. SissonsC022+120.140105014:37
28E. TolvanenR000-110.08210—14:00
84T. JeannotL112020.19112—13:03
90M. BorowieckiD000-100.02002—12:51
13Y. TreninC112+110.01100012:19
8C. GlassC000-110.040006012:02
36C. SmithR000010.07300—11:56
44K. SherwoodL000020.4220010010:22
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)41374.9023.40-0.6057:59

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).