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Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV NESN, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Boston Bruins 7-5. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 6-5 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Stützle's goal at 13:58 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 68% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.7 to 3.4; shots on goal were BOS 34, OTT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 19 of 25 (.760), 3.3 goals below expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A), 2. Tim Stützle (1 G, 2 A), 3. Patrice Bergeron (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Stützle1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS111412011534
OTTOTT3931616731

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:04
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    3:09
  3. OTT
    snapxG 0.21win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    13:14
  4. BOS
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    17:00

2nd period

  1. BOS
    D. Krejci(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.25win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    0:28
  2. BOS
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    3-3
    1:30
  3. OTT
    slapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    3-4
    11:57
  4. OTT
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +19 pts
    3-5
    13:58
  5. OTT
    wristxG 0.25win prob +7 pts
    3-6
    16:29
  6. BOS
    wristxG 0.25win prob +7 pts
    4-6
    17:55
  7. BOS
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    5-6
    19:45

3rd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.32win prob +14 pts
    5-7
    9:58

Penalties

BOS 13 PIM·OTT 15 PIM

1st

  • 3:44BOSTrent Frederic · Boardingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 7:14OTTDrake Batherson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:18OTTArtem Zub · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

2nd

  • 9:43OTTParker Kelly · Fightingdrawn by Connor Clifton5 min
  • 9:43BOSConnor Clifton · Fightingdrawn by Parker Kelly5 min
  • 19:39OTTJosh Norris · Roughingdrawn by David Krejci2 min
  • 19:39BOSDavid Krejci · Roughingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min

3rd

  • 8:03BOSDavid Pastrnak · Embellishmentdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
  • 8:03OTTTravis Hamonic · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 13:16OTTErik Brannstrom · Slashingdrawn by Jakub Lauko2 min
  • 18:07BOSPatrice Bergeron · Interferencedrawn by Josh Norris2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalBOS goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Tim Stützle, 2nd 13:58 — OTT 68% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Zub · Goal · xG 0.32M. Kastelic · Goal · xG 0.25D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.21B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.15S. Pinto · Goal · xG 0.14A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.14A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.12C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.12T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.12M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.12T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.10J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.10D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.10M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.09S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.09J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.09T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.09D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.08T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.08E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.06A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.05N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.04J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.00A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.00S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT7 G · 3.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsOTT
3.45 G
All situations
7 G3.7
2.04 G
Even strength
7 G3.3
1.31 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS43%57%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 3.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsOTT
34
Shots on goal
31
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/3
Power play
0/2
13
Penalty minutes
15
23
Hits
33
13
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27H. LindholmD000010.01320—24:46
88D. PastrnakR123050.43112—21:18
6M. ReillyD000040.19120—20:04
74J. DeBruskL022+140.53010—19:52
13C. CoyleC011-200.001005018:41
86A. StralmanD000-200.01120—18:29
46D. KrejciC101-320.351125318:25
28D. ForbortD000-310.02200—17:19
75C. CliftonD000-210.04425—17:18
18P. ZachaC000-220.07000016:09
37P. BergeronC123+170.701124816:05
67J. ZborilD000000.02210—15:42
92T. NosekL000+120.100006312:30
71T. HallL000-200.14000—11:55
10A. GreerL101-220.40200—11:42
17N. FolignoL101020.3110010011:27
11T. FredericC000-100.00202011:18
94J. LaukoC011+110.03100009:38
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)25196.7602.71-3.2940:00
35L. Ullmark651.8331.01+0.0119:29

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).