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Avalanche at Wild
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
Minnesota Wild
3
FinalTV ALT, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Minnesota Wild 6-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Manson's goal at 2:02 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 73% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were COL 38, MIN 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 36 of 39 (.923); Filip Gustavsson stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 2 A), 2. Cale Makar (2 A), 3. Calen Addison (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    C. Makar2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    C. Addison3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL210118310638
MINMIN111116112339

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    B. Meyers(1)
    E. Johnson (1), S. Girard (1)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:30
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(2)
    C. Addison (2), T. Jost (1)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:14
  3. COL
    S. Girard(1)
    N. MacKinnon (4), V. Nichushkin (1)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    15:08

2nd period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(2)PPG
    C. Addison (3), M. Boldy (3)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    6:09
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(1)
    N. MacKinnon (5), C. Makar (3)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    11:59

3rd period

  1. COL
    J. Manson(1)
    A. Cogliano (1), J. Compher (1)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    2:02
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(3)PPG
    C. Addison (4), M. Zuccarello (3)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    4-3
    4:17
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(2)PPG
    C. Makar (4), V. Nichushkin (2)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    5-3
    14:54
  4. COL
    V. Nichushkin(4)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.45win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    19:39

Penalties

COL 14 PIM·MIN 10 PIM

2nd

  • 5:04COLMikko Rantanen · Slashingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 8:37MINMarcus Foligno · Hookingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 11:27COLLogan O'Connor · Roughingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 11:27MINRyan Hartman · Interferencedrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 17:07COLEvan Rodrigues · High stickingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min

3rd

  • 3:22COLKurtis MacDermid · Cross checkingdrawn by Mason Shaw2 min
  • 5:23MINBrandon Duhaime · Roughingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 5:23COLJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 7:02MINserved by M. Shaw · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:02COLSamuel Girard · Slashingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 14:12MINJoel Eriksson Ek · High stickingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 18:44COLArtturi Lehkonen · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCOL goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Josh Manson, 3rd 2:02 — COL 73% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.24R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.20M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.14M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.14K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.13J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.13J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.09M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.07J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.06M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.06M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.05M. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04C. Addison · Missed · xG 0.04C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02M. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.02C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.01C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.7 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsMIN
3.35 G
All situations
3 G2.7
2.74 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.21 G
Power play
2 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL55%45%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsMIN
38
Shots on goal
39
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/2
Power play
2/4
14
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
20
17
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
5
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD022+120.14310—26:40
7D. ToewsD000+100.01140—25:07
29N. MacKinnonC123+270.461004721:21
4B. ByramD000+110.36110—20:35
96M. RantanenR101+120.230022920:03
13V. NichushkinR123+130.63110—19:51
62A. LehkonenL000020.10232—19:01
37J. CompherL011+220.071204417:25
42J. MansonD101+130.21302—17:17
49S. GirardD112+240.10202—15:02
6E. JohnsonD011+210.01020—14:41
9E. RodriguesC000050.2910210014:39
11A. CoglianoC011+110.02110013:25
25L. O'ConnorR000+120.22102—13:16
18A. NewhookC000-110.201006712:26
22L. SedlakC000+100.00210007:29
59B. MeyersC101+120.26100006:27
56K. MacDermidL000+100.00112—05:59
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)39363.9232.69-0.3160:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).