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Blue Jackets at Blues
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 10:43 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.1 to 1.6; shots on goal were CBJ 25, STL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 1.9 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G, 1 A), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (2 G), 3. Ivan Barbashev (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    I. Barbashev1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ0621306225
STLSTL1411338525

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    5:05

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    1:04
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.22win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:21
  3. CBJ
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:39

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +32 pts
    2-3
    10:43
  2. STL
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    2-4
    11:03
  3. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12
    2-5
    18:29

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:47CBJCole Sillinger · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

2nd

  • 3:41CBJBoone Jenner · Slashingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 11:45STLNiko Mikkola · Holdingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min

3rd

  • 13:32CBJBoone Jenner · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 19:22STLRobert Bortuzzo · Holdingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCBJ goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, 3rd 10:43 — STL 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.23J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.17J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.16P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.16T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.15R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.14B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.14V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.12I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.11N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.10N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.09T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.07J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.06B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.06B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.04N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04J. Neighbours · Goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.01A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL5 G · 3.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsSTL
1.62 G
All situations
5 G3.1
1.52 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ24%76%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsSTL
25
Shots on goal
25
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
28
13
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
5
11
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000-250.18030—25:53
13J. GaudreauL011-110.10000—23:05
38B. JennerC000-130.273247822:08
4V. GavrikovD000+100.00020—21:29
2A. PeekeD000+210.03010—20:39
14G. NyquistR101-130.34010—18:56
44E. GudbransonD011-110.01100—17:43
27A. BoqvistD000-200.00000—16:33
22J. BeanD000-120.08030—15:01
93J. VoracekR000-220.05000—14:42
59E. ChinakhovR000-200.02100—13:56
34C. SillingerC000-210.042126013:54
96J. RoslovicC000020.130006713:28
17J. DanforthR000-100.07100—13:00
7S. KuralyC101+110.103003612:12
50E. RobinsonL011+120.20100—12:05
91K. JohnsonC000010.03000010:50
24M. OlivierR011+100.00200—10:08
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)25205.8003.11-1.8960:00

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).