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Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-3. The Oilers came back from three goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 15:01 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were VAN 36, EDM 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.4 goals below expected; Jack Campbell stopped 33 of 36 (.917). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (3 G, 1 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jack Campbell (33 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    J. Campbell33 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN21411408336
EDMEDM0837210525

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:49
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    2:40

2nd period

  1. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    0:39
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    3-1
    4:12
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    14:01
  4. EDM
    D. Nurse(1)SHG
    slapxG 0.22win prob +23 pts
    3-3
    19:19

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.14win prob +38 pts
    3-4
    15:01
  2. EDM
    E. Kane (1), D. Nurse (1)
    wristxG 0.86win prob +1 pts
    3-5
    19:35

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·EDM 16 PIM

1st

  • 4:17EDMConnor McDavid · Cross checkingdrawn by Riley Stillman2 min
  • 16:25EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Holdingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 20:00EDMDarnell Nurse · Interferencedrawn by Kyle Burroughs2 min

2nd

  • 3:54VANTanner Pearson · Hookingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 10:21EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 13:55VANserved by A. Kuzmenko · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:31EDMserved by D. Holloway · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:26EDMConnor McDavid · Trippingdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin2 min

3rd

  • 5:35EDMLeon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 5:50VANTanner Pearson · High stickingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 16:25EDMEvander Kane · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Thatcher Demko2 min
  • 17:46VANBrock Boeser · High stickingdrawn by Cody Ceci2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVAN goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 3rd 15:01 — EDM 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.86E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.24R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.24D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.22E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.20J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.13J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.10E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.07R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.03D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.02D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.01D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 3.5 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsEDM
3.03 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
1.11 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN57%43%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsEDM
36
Shots on goal
25
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/8
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
16
31
Hits
39
17
Blocked shots
16
10
Giveaways
17
9
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011-130.14030—24:38
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000030.11220—22:16
9J. MillerC112-120.172005522:01
40E. PetterssonC101050.343002721:39
53B. HorvatC011-130.451106121:26
6B. BoeserR011-120.16012—19:40
2L. SchennD000030.05640—18:49
8C. GarlandR000010.09100—17:56
96A. KuzmenkoL101+140.63000—17:43
70T. PearsonL000030.260045017:05
5T. PoolmanD000020.05210—16:40
21N. HoglanderL000+120.23100—15:27
92V. PodkolzinR000010.18120—14:32
44K. BurroughsD000+100.00210—12:20
61R. StillmanD000+120.04410—11:20
88N. AmanC000000.002005010:02
20C. LazarC000000.091106707:26
81D. JoshuaC000000.00300006:48
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)24204.8332.61-1.3958:04

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).