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Lightning at Rangers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
New York Rangers
▸3
FinalTV ESPN, ESPN+·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mika Zibanejad's goal at 5:11 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 59% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 5.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were TBL 26, NYR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (2 G), 2. Barclay Goodrow (1 G), 3. Jacob Trouba (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    B. Goodrow1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Trouba1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL0818010126
NYRNYR01411629339

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(1)SHG
    J. Trouba (1), K. Miller (1)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    3:25
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(1)PPG
    N. Kucherov (1), B. Point (1)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    9:09

3rd period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(2)PPG
    A. Panarin (1), C. Kreider (1)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    5:11
  2. NYR
    B. Goodrow(1)
    R. Lindgren (1), R. Carpenter (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    11:00

Penalties

TBL 8 PIM·NYR 12 PIM

1st

  • 16:13TBLErik Cernak · Holdingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min

2nd

  • 2:07NYRVincent Trocheck · Holdingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 8:02NYRK'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 8:02NYRBarclay Goodrow · Elbowingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 12:33TBLRoss Colton · Interferencedrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
  • 15:15TBLSteven Stamkos · Slashingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min

3rd

  • 2:40NYRBarclay Goodrow · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min
  • 4:59TBLVladislav Namestnikov · High stickingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 6:42NYRRyan Carpenter · Holdingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 13:07NYRFilip Chytil · Holdingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalTBL goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Mika Zibanejad, 3rd 5:11 — NYR 59% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.31A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.30M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.29C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.29A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.27J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.27C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.26C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.24C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.23C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.21M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.17B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.14C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.14K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.14J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.13F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07B. Goodrow · Goal · xG 0.07B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.04R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 5.3 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsNYR
2.91 G
All situations
3 G5.3
1.50 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
1.41 G
Power play
1 G2.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL24%76%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 4.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsNYR
26
Shots on goal
39
36%
Faceoffs
64%
1/6
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
12
19
Hits
24
22
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
17
8
Takeaways
19

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD000030.21200—25:43
86N. KucherovR011-130.49020—23:53
98M. SergachevD000-200.00070—23:37
21B. PointC011030.452103823:36
91S. StamkosC101-150.761321723:31
17A. KillornL000-100.10000—21:46
20N. PaulL000-220.171203521:35
81E. CernakD000000.00222—19:02
52C. FooteD000000.00120—16:12
10C. PerryR000-140.38100—14:19
38B. HagelL000-110.13030—13:24
5P. MyersD000-120.01300—11:56
41P. BellemareL000000.001006710:34
79R. ColtonC000010.16102010:12
7H. FleuryD000000.01000—09:54
90V. NamestnikovC000000.001022509:25
14P. MaroonL000010.01200—09:22
45C. KoepkeL000010.01100—07:51
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)39363.9235.01+2.0157:56

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).