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Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars

FinalTV BSSW, ROOT-NW+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Seattle Kraken 3-2. The Stars came back from two goals down. The Stars led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladislav Namestnikov's goal at 11:34 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were SEA 32, DAL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Chris Driedger stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Jake Oettinger stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Roope Hintz (2 G), 2. Jason Robertson (2 A), 3. Jake Oettinger (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Hintz2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA2909014232
DALDAL01231405331

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    6:50
  2. SEA
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    18:33

2nd period

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.31win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    6:53
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(37)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    8:58
  3. DAL
    wristxG 0.20win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    11:34

Penalties

SEA 6 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:48DALJohn Klingberg · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

2nd

  • 8:29SEADerrick Pouliot · Cross checkingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min

3rd

  • 3:11SEARiley Sheahan · Slashingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 11:10SEAKole Lind · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Suter2 min
  • 11:10DALRyan Suter · Roughingdrawn by Kole Lind2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSEA goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Vladislav Namestnikov, 2nd 11:34 — DAL 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.31J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.24J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.24V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.20R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.18T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.16J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.16J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.16R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.15J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.14M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.12T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.12J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.08J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.07J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.03R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 3.4 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsDAL
2.52 G
All situations
3 G3.4
2.22 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA35%65%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 3.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsDAL
32
Shots on goal
31
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/1
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
19
17
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
5
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD011010.05220—26:19
29V. DunnD000-200.11030—21:31
24J. OleksiakD011+120.04410—20:10
28C. SoucyD000+150.31330—19:29
7J. EberleR000-120.13020—18:33
10M. BeniersC000-120.030001118:08
37Y. GourdeC101050.340003317:44
21A. WennbergC000000.000003317:19
16J. McCannL000-100.2620010016:17
3W. BorgenD000010.04000—15:48
73K. LindR011+110.062026715:32
49V. RaskC000+130.1401010014:59
9R. DonatoC000-130.53210014:46
25K. KuhlmanC000-130.15200013:56
51D. PouliotD011010.05012—13:38
67M. GeekieC000+110.171206011:09
15R. SheahanC101+110.040122511:06
72J. DonskoiR000+110.00000—10:14
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Driedger(L)31283.9033.36+0.3658:53

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).