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Blue Jackets at Ducks
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV BSOH, BSSD·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 6-4. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor Zegras's goal at 1:03 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were CBJ 35, ANA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. J-F Berube stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.6 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Troy Terry (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Getzlaf (2 A), 3. Cam Fowler (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    T. Terry2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    C. Fowler1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ112210113435
ANAANA310012310632

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    slapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:17
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:07
  3. ANA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    5:43
  4. ANA
    T. Zegras (36), D. Grant (13)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    7:42

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    1:34
  2. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    3-3
    10:52

3rd period

  1. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +24 pts
    3-4
    1:03
  2. ANA
    T. Terry (27), R. Getzlaf (32)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    3-5
    3:28
  3. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    4-5
    7:22
  4. ANA
    D. Grant(15)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.94win prob +2 pts
    4-6
    19:04

Penalties

CBJ 2 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:10ANASam Steel · Hookingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min
  • 11:55ANAAndrej Sustr · Hookingdrawn by Justin Danforth2 min

2nd

  • 18:22CBJBrendan Gaunce · Hookingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCBJ goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Trevor Zegras, 3rd 1:03 — ANA 52% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.94A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.18T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.17T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.16A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.13T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.13G. Mayhew · Goal · xG 0.12T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.10D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.10G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.10T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.09T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.08D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.08J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.08T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.07T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.06G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.06D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.06T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.06T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.06S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.05G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.04T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.04T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.04T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.02S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.02T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · Goal · xG 0.02Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.00U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA6 G · 3.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsANA
2.74 G
All situations
5 G3.3
1.94 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ55%45%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsANA
35
Shots on goal
32
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44V. GavrikovD011-250.11010—24:08
27A. BoqvistD011030.29110—23:20
22J. BeanD202+130.15400—22:58
2A. PeekeD000010.00230—22:10
77N. BlankenburgD000-210.01100—20:42
93J. VoracekR011-440.30000—17:54
14G. NyquistR011-420.02110—17:23
96J. RoslovicC011010.120005517:23
28O. BjorkstrandR000-110.25000—16:23
50E. RobinsonL011+140.28200—15:47
34C. SillingerC101-420.392104515:34
7S. KuralyC101+120.094105715:24
17J. DanforthR011+210.122107815:09
52E. BemstromC000020.2020010014:38
13K. JohnsonC000+110.15000014:32
23B. GaunceC000010.142226412:30
55C. MeyerR000010.08200—11:35
8Z. WerenskiD000000.00100—01:23
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Berube(L)31265.8392.40-2.6059:07

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).