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Anaheim Ducks at Florida Panthers

Final/OTTV BSSD, BSSC·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2 in overtime, Jonathan Huberdeau scoring at 3:41. The Ducks scored first; the Panthers answered. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Huberdeau's goal at 3:41 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were ANA 24, FLA 55. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. John Gibson stopped 52 of 55 (.945), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Anthony Duclair (2 G), 2. John Gibson (52 saves, .945), 3. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Duclair2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson52 saves, .945
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA141150401224
FLAFLA01712011315355

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    T. Zegras (35), D. Grant (12)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:38

2nd period

  1. FLA
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:44
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    17:24

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Duclair(30)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    10:09

Overtime

  1. FLA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    3:41

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:34ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Cross checkingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 16:29FLARobert Hagg · Hookingdrawn by Isac Lundeström2 min

3rd

  • 3:54FLAClaude Giroux · Slashingdrawn by Urho Vaakanainen2 min
  • 5:53ANAAdam Henrique · Hookingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 8:24ANAGerry Mayhew · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalANA goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Huberdeau, OT 3:41 — FLA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.20C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.19A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.18M. Mamin · On goal · xG 0.16J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.15S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.14J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.13J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.12A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.12J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.11P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.10P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.10A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.09A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.08J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.06M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.06B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.05A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.04A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Mamin · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 4.9 xG · 75 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsFLA
1.82 G
All situations
3 G4.9
1.52 G
Even strength
2 G3.6
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA11%89%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 4.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsFLA
24
Shots on goal
55
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
16
21
Blocked shots
5
9
Giveaways
6
10
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000+140.14010—27:33
22K. ShattenkirkD000+130.28162—23:25
15R. GetzlafC000010.072304421:29
19T. TerryR101030.37030—20:58
34J. DrysdaleD011-100.01110—20:03
14A. HenriqueC011+130.102125620:00
46T. ZegrasC011000.100002519:30
26G. MayhewC000010.18202017:57
92A. SustrD000020.03030—17:39
38D. GrantC112+130.230102517:19
5U. VaakanainenD000000.00100—17:19
86S. BenoitD000010.01510—15:40
16Z. Aston-ReeseL000010.02300—15:04
21I. LundestromC000000.082101314:30
12S. MilanoL000-100.04100—13:59
39S. CarrickC000000.009002509:15
44M. ComtoisL000020.11000—08:19
51D. SimonC000000.00000005:19
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(O)55523.9454.89+1.8963:41

Season series

FLA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).