Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Boston Bruins 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lars Eller's goal at 7:18 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.0 to 3.0; shots on goal were BOS 30, WSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Lars Eller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Vitek Vanecek (28 saves, .933), 3. Erik Haula (1 G).
Three stars
- ★L. Eller1 G, 1 A

- ★★V. Vanecek28 saves, .933

- ★★★E. Haula1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals2nd period
0-14:11
1-17:55
2-18:55
2-214:50
3rd period
2-37:18
2-419:58
Penalties
1st
- 11:47
Nic Dowd · High stickingdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min
- 18:13
Dmitry Orlov · Boardingdrawn by Marc McLaughlin2 min
2nd
- 4:46
Lars Eller · Hookingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
3rd
- 2:55
Trevor van Riemsdyk · Trippingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
- 10:43
Taylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
- 15:18
Trent Frederic · Hookingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Lars Eller, 3rd 7:18 — 52% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.02 G
- All situations
- 3 G4.0
- 2.42 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.0
- 0.60 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 2.42
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 39
- Hits
- 45
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 25
- 5
- Giveaways
- 6
- 4
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
