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Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals

FinalTV TNT, SN360·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Boston Bruins 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lars Eller's goal at 7:18 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.0 to 3.0; shots on goal were BOS 30, WSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Lars Eller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Vitek Vanecek (28 saves, .933), 3. Erik Haula (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    L. Eller1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    V. Vanecek28 saves, .933
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    E. Haula1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS0821606230
WSHWSH07211215433

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:11
  2. BOS
    snapxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:55
  3. BOS
    slapxG 0.04win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    8:55
  4. WSH
    snapxG 0.08win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    14:50

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.02win prob +28 pts
    2-3
    7:18
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.94win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:58

Penalties

BOS 4 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:47WSHNic Dowd · High stickingdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min
  • 18:13WSHDmitry Orlov · Boardingdrawn by Marc McLaughlin2 min

2nd

  • 4:46WSHLars Eller · Hookingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min

3rd

  • 2:55WSHTrevor van Riemsdyk · Trippingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 10:43BOSTaylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 15:18BOSTrent Frederic · Hookingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalBOS goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Lars Eller, 3rd 7:18 — WSH 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.94A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.66N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.19C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.17N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.17M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.16E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.16C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.16L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.10T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.08M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.07L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.07L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.06M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.04T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 4.0 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsWSH
3.02 G
All situations
3 G4.0
2.42 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS60%40%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsWSH
30
Shots on goal
33
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
39
Hits
45
9
Blocked shots
25
5
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD011+130.64410—28:18
63B. MarchandL000-250.44300—23:15
6M. ReillyD000000.02200—22:20
74J. DeBruskL000-210.0900010021:23
28D. ForbortD000-320.03420—21:03
37P. BergeronC000-110.181107320:30
25B. CarloD000-110.01500—19:47
71T. HallL000-120.3121210019:40
13C. CoyleC000-120.390005419:01
56E. HaulaL101040.182105016:27
44J. BrownD000000.00000—15:43
12C. SmithC000-110.01000013:59
92T. NosekL000030.261106011:20
20C. LazarC101030.196003310:58
26M. McLaughlinC000010.03400010:54
11T. FredericC000010.21212010:13
17N. FolignoL011000.0030010009:50
48M. GrzelcykD000000.00010—03:11
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)32293.9062.44-0.5658:08

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).