Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 5-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darren Helm's goal at 14:14 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 61% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.8 to 2.9; shots on goal were COL 29, SJS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 25 of 28 (.893); Zach Sawchenko stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cale Makar (1 G, 2 A), 2. Ryan Murray, 3. Erik Karlsson (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. Makar1 G, 2 A

- ★★R. Murray

- ★★★E. Karlsson1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
1-010:18
2-014:14
2nd period
3-00:34
4-015:29
4-119:19
3rd period
4-213:02
4-318:35
5-319:45
Penalties
1st
- 6:20
Josh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Barabanov2 min
- 9:12
Jeffrey Viel · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Murray2 min
- 11:41
Kurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Jake Middleton5 min
- 11:41
Jake Middleton · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min
- 19:49
J.T. Compher · Roughingdrawn by Marc-Edouard Vlasic2 min
- 19:49
Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
2nd
- 4:33
Nathan MacKinnon · Hookingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min
- 11:13
Devon Toews · Hookingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
- 15:39
Jack Johnson · Holdingdrawn by Matt Nieto2 min
3rd
- 3:55
Andre Burakovsky · Slashingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Darren Helm, 1st 14:14 — 61% → 72%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.84 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.9
- 1.73 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.6
- 0.11 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.3
- 0.50 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.91
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 1/1
- Power play
- 0/5
- 17
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 11
- Hits
- 20
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 7
- Giveaways
- 8
- 11
- Takeaways
- 13
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
