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Boston Bruins at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV NESN, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Taylor Hall's goal at 15:13 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 55% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.2 to 3.3; shots on goal were BOS 45, WPG 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 41 of 44 (.932). Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (41 saves, .932), 2. Charlie Coyle (3 A), 3. Brad Marchand (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck41 saves, .932
  2. ★★
    BOS
    C. Coyle3 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS01422229445
WPGWPG01104214229

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    4:42
  2. BOS
    C. Coyle (20), C. Smith (15)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    7:12

3rd period

  1. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    2:29
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +26 pts
    2-2
    3:54
  3. BOS
    T. Hall(13)PPG
    C. Coyle (21), C. McAvoy (32)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +33 pts
    3-2
    15:13
  4. BOS
    T. Nosek (11), C. Coyle (22)
    wristxG 0.93win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    19:29

Penalties

BOS 10 PIM·WPG 28 PIM

1st

  • 4:44BOSMike Reilly · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers0 min
  • 10:13BOSMatt Grzelcyk · High stickingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 14:59WPGBlake Wheeler · Slashingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min

2nd

  • 9:37BOSErik Haula · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Connor Hellebuyck2 min
  • 13:36BOSCharlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 14:05WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Cross checkingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min

3rd

  • 6:59BOSDavid Pastrnak · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 11:57WPGLogan Stanley · Interferencedrawn by Jack Studnicka2 min
  • 14:31WPGBrenden Dillon · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:34BOSErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 19:29WPGJosh Morrissey · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:29WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalBOS goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Taylor Hall, 3rd 15:13 — BOS 55% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.27M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.19N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.19A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.16B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.16K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.15B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.14K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.13P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.12B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.07A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 3.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsWPG
4.23 G
All situations
2 G3.3
2.62 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.51 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS49%51%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.12 – 3.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsWPG
45
Shots on goal
29
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/4
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
28
19
Hits
33
17
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD112+141.00212—25:48
25B. CarloD000-110.04210—21:51
63B. MarchandL101+160.39000—20:41
13C. CoyleC033+210.150105019:18
28D. ForbortD000+200.00520—19:02
48M. GrzelcykD000-110.01122—17:57
6M. ReillyD000020.08010—17:02
88D. PastrnakR000-170.58012—15:48
71T. HallL101-240.42000—15:36
12C. SmithC011+110.02010014:54
11T. FredericC101+120.27310014:21
92T. NosekL011-100.091004613:53
75C. CliftonD000+160.09110—13:42
23J. StudnickaC011+110.041105513:28
74J. DeBruskL011000.08000—12:49
56E. HaulaL000000.070045012:35
20C. LazarC000020.181108312:09
17N. FolignoL000070.65230—09:47
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)29272.9313.27+1.2759:53

Season series

BOS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).