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Panthers at Golden Knights
NHL

Florida Panthers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
3
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, BSFL·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Florida Panthers 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Golden Knights led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicolas Roy's goal at 13:23 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.9 to 2.9; shots on goal were FLA 36, VGK 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected; Logan Thompson stopped 33 of 36 (.917). Three stars: 1. Evgenii Dadonov (2 G), 2. Nicolas Roy (1 G), 3. Logan Thompson (33 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    E. Dadonov2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    N. Roy1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    L. Thompson33 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA11611218336
VGKVGK11426213533

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(21)
    E. Luostarinen (10), A. Ekblad (40)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:04
  2. VGK
    B. Howden(9)
    M. Amadio (6), K. Kolesar (14)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:09

2nd period

  1. VGK
    E. Dadonov(13)
    D. Pouliot (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:38
  2. VGK
    E. Dadonov(14)PPG
    S. Theodore (29), J. Eichel (5)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    14:32
  3. FLA
    S. Bennett(25)
    A. Duclair (22), A. Ekblad (41)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    17:38

3rd period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(23)PPG
    A. Ekblad (42), A. Barkov (35)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    12:26
  2. VGK
    N. Roy(12)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +36 pts
    3-4
    13:23
  3. VGK
    W. Karlsson(8)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.52win prob +4 pts
    3-5
    18:10

Penalties

FLA 16 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:31FLAGustav Forsling · Interferencedrawn by Michael Amadio2 min

2nd

  • 14:26FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

3rd

  • 11:50VGKWilliam Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 13:23FLAAnthony Duclair · Abuse of officials2 min
  • 13:23FLAAnthony Duclair · Abuse of officials10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalFLA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Nicolas Roy, 3rd 13:23 — VGK 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.91W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.52A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.41N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.27A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.14B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.14W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.13S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.13C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.12J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.12E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.10M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.10E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.10W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.10M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.09N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.08D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.07N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.06N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.06C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.04W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.04E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.03D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 4.9 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsVGK
2.93 G
All situations
4 G4.9
2.62 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA45%55%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsVGK
36
Shots on goal
33
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/1
Power play
1/3
16
Penalty minutes
2
50
Hits
32
15
Blocked shots
16
10
Giveaways
5
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD033030.11220—26:49
52M. WeegarD000-150.07442—25:58
42G. ForslingD000-100.00202—20:27
11J. HuberdeauL000010.23100—20:11
16A. BarkovC011-150.211003719:35
13S. ReinhartC101-230.380002217:32
23C. VerhaegheC101+140.67010017:00
7R. GudasD000-100.001210—17:00
17M. MarchmentL000-230.19600—16:56
9S. BennettC101-220.082207316:36
62B. MontourD000-100.00000—16:10
27E. LuostarinenC011030.132104016:04
10A. DuclairL011030.321012—13:44
98M. MaminC000+110.01410013:05
40P. LindbohmD000000.01420—13:04
55N. AcciariC000-120.245005010:23
19J. ThorntonC000-110.1910010009:35
70P. HornqvistR000000.00310—07:02
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(L)32284.8753.08-0.9258:43

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).