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Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV ALT, BSW·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 19:29 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 75% to 88%. Expected goals were close — COL 2.2, LAK 2.1; shots on goal were COL 27, LAK 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of 23 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Valeri Nichushkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Darcy Kuemper (23 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    D. Kuemper23 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL11011017327
LAKLAK0805010023

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    6:36

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Compher(12)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    19:29

3rd period

  1. COL
    snapxG 0.15win prob +6 pts
    3-0
    5:03

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:16LAKAdrian Kempe · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 12:33COLKurtis MacDermid · Holding the stickdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min

2nd

  • 18:39LAKMartin Frk · Interferencedrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

3rd

  • 2:43COLNazem Kadri · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:29COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 18:59COLKurtis MacDermid · Interferencedrawn by Austin Strand2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, 2nd 19:29 — COL 75% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.18R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.14R. Kupari · Missed · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.12A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.11A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.11M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.11Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.09C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.08B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.07R. Kupari · Missed · xG 0.07G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.07T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.06M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.05T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.05G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.04T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.04P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.03P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01
LAK0 G · 2.1 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
2.23 G
All situations
0 G2.1
1.91 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.32 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL52%48%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
27
Shots on goal
23
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
39
Hits
17
18
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011010.00110—24:57
7D. ToewsD000010.03120—22:49
13V. NichushkinR112030.30000—22:41
96M. RantanenR112+140.532326721:01
91N. KadriC000010.040026720:51
29N. MacKinnonC011+130.233005619:16
42J. MansonD000+110.021000—18:41
18A. NewhookC000040.291205017:19
3J. JohnsonD000000.00120—17:16
6E. JohnsonD000030.17150—17:07
28R. MurrayD000+100.04210—17:00
37J. CompherL101020.102101116:34
43D. HelmC000020.196105713:57
25L. O'ConnorR000010.11100—13:34
95A. BurakovskyL011+100.00000—13:19
16N. Aube-KubelR000010.01500—10:04
56K. MacDermidL000000.12304—06:27
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)232301.0002.09+2.0960:00

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).