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Anaheim Ducks at New York Rangers

Final/OTTV BSSD, BSSC·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3 in overtime, Adam Fox scoring at 0:55. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Fox's goal at 0:55 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.6, NYR 2.4; shots on goal were ANA 23, NYR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. John Gibson stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 1.6 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Adam Fox (1 G, 2 A), 2. Artemi Panarin (3 A), 3. Adam Henrique (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Fox1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin3 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    A. Henrique2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA161101700323
NYRNYR1711111911438

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:29
  2. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:05

2nd period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox (51), A. Panarin (53)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:06
  2. ANA
    C. Fowler(7)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    2-2
    4:53

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.20win prob +33 pts
    3-2
    10:35
  2. NYR
    C. Kreider(39)PPG
    A. Fox (52), A. Panarin (54)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +33 pts
    3-3
    13:40

Overtime

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.20win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    0:55

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:19ANASam Carrick · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 19:46NYRRyan Lindgren · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 4:41NYRJacob Trouba · Trippingdrawn by Isac Lundeström2 min
  • 17:18NYRRyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min

3rd

  • 11:53ANAMaxime Comtois · Hookingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalANA goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Fox, OT 0:55 — NYR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.21A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.20F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.19F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.15R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.14A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.13R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.12C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.11C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.09A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.06D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.05R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.04P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · Goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01
NYR4 G · 2.4 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsNYR
2.63 G
All situations
4 G2.4
2.12 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA52%48%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsNYR
23
Shots on goal
38
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
8
5
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD101-130.18000—27:14
92A. SustrD000-100.00020—22:54
47H. LindholmD000010.01010—20:20
34J. DrysdaleD000+120.09000—19:56
19T. TerryR011010.29000—18:41
14A. HenriqueC022+120.240004017:57
46T. ZegrasC000-120.410002917:18
44M. ComtoisL101+130.26302—17:09
22K. ShattenkirkD000010.05110—16:59
12S. MilanoL000000.01010—16:22
21I. LundestromC000000.000104315:59
28V. LettieriC000020.081105715:57
39S. CarrickC000-120.723026213:28
20N. DeslauriersL000-110.01400—13:10
38D. GrantC101030.262106713:09
86S. BenoitD000000.01100—11:37
55D. O'ReganC011000.00120010:38
53B. RobinsonR000-100.00010—10:10
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(O)38344.8952.45-1.5560:55

Season series

NYR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).