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Montréal Canadiens at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV NBCSP, TSN2·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-3 in overtime, Cole Caufield scoring at 2:10. The Flyers scored first; the Canadiens answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 2:10 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — MTL 3.0, PHI 3.3; shots on goal were MTL 35, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Carter Hart stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A), 2. Claude Giroux (1 G), 3. Nick Suzuki (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL01121011311435
PHIPHI191611104330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:00

2nd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(15)PPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    2:18
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    7:11
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.28win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    8:18

3rd period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +25 pts
    2-3
    2:41
  2. MTL
    R. Pitlick(12)SHG
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    19:17

Overtime

  1. MTL
    slapxG 0.09win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    2:10

Penalties

MTL 4 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:20MTLMike Hoffman · Slashingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min
  • 10:34PHIJustin Braun · Holdingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min

2nd

  • 1:09PHIClaude Giroux · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 12:34PHITravis Sanheim · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 18:41PHIDerick Brassard · Hookingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min

3rd

  • 19:00MTLChris Wideman · Interferencedrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalMTL goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Cole Caufield, OT 2:10 — MTL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.24C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.20T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.19P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.17G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.17C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.16T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.15C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.15K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.13C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.12C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.11J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.10T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.10K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.09K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.08M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.07C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.06T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.06Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.05C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.04D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.01O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01
PHI3 G · 3.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsPHI
3.04 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.32 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL46%54%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsPHI
35
Shots on goal
30
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
29
14
Blocked shots
22
9
Giveaways
5
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. ChiarotD011010.00030—26:32
14N. SuzukiC202+240.420005223:27
26J. PetryD000030.04350—21:35
32R. PitlickC112+120.231003821:07
17J. AndersonR000010.34010—19:57
27A. RomanovD000010.01300—19:43
22C. CaufieldR112+130.34000—18:29
77B. KulakD000-150.11010—18:05
68M. HoffmanC011+210.07002017:47
20C. WidemanD022020.01112—17:28
11B. GallagherR000+140.57000—16:24
71J. EvansC000020.110102714:33
41P. ByronL000020.19000—14:26
40J. ArmiaR000-320.19100—13:36
64C. SchuenemanD000020.09010—12:54
55M. PezzettaL000000.24500—11:33
45L. DauphinC000-300.061006708:55
25R. PoehlingC000-200.000103307:42
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(W)30273.9003.29+0.2961:37

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).