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Canadiens at Jets
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
4
Winnipeg Jets
▸8
FinalTV TSN2, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Montréal Canadiens 8-4. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 5-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Copp's goal at 17:17 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 55% to 74%. Expected goals were close — MTL 3.3, WPG 3.1; shots on goal were MTL 35, WPG 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 16 of 23 (.696), 4.8 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G, 2 A), 2. Josh Anderson (3 G), 3. Andrew Copp (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    P. Dubois1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Anderson3 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    A. Copp1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL314110011435
WPGWPG46111313830

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    E. Svechnikov(6)
    N. Schmidt (23), K. Connor (27)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:21
  2. WPG
    N. Schmidt(4)
    P. Dubois (20), E. Svechnikov (9)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    5:57
  3. WPG
    A. Lowry(7)
    D. DeMelo (6)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    8:46
  4. WPG
    M. Scheifele(19)
    P. Dubois (21), K. Connor (28)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    9:13
  5. MTL
    J. Anderson(13)
    J. Petry (9)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    11:18
  6. MTL
    J. Anderson(14)PPG
    C. Caufield (12), N. Suzuki (23)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    17:00
  7. MTL
    A. Lehkonen(10)
    J. Evans (9)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    18:28

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(15)
    R. Poehling (7)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    4-4
    4:08
  2. WPG
    A. Copp(13)PPG
    N. Pionk (22), P. Stastny (12)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +20 pts
    4-5
    17:17

3rd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(20)PPG
    B. Wheeler (29), K. Connor (29)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    4-6
    2:46
  2. WPG
    P. Dubois(22)PPG
    M. Scheifele (25), B. Wheeler (30)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +3 pts
    4-7
    5:49
  3. WPG
    P. Stastny(13)PPG
    A. Lowry (7), A. Copp (17)
    snapxG 0.17
    4-8
    17:26

Penalties

MTL 19 PIM·WPG 19 PIM

1st

  • 6:35WPGDylan DeMelo · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 7:08MTLJosh Anderson · Trippingdrawn by Nathan Beaulieu2 min
  • 8:10WPGBrenden Dillon · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 8:54MTLBrett Kulak · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 15:52WPGJosh Morrissey · Hookingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 18:58WPGNathan Beaulieu · Roughingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 19:31MTLJosh Anderson · Hookingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

2nd

  • 6:57WPGDominic Toninato · Slashingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 15:41MTLJeff Petry · High stickingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 16:59WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Rem Pitlick0 min

3rd

  • 1:41MTLBrendan Gallagher · Slashingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 5:11MTLBrendan Gallagher · High stickingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 6:24WPGNeal Pionk · Trippingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 11:00WPGNeal Pionk · Trippingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 16:41WPGMark Scheifele · Fightingdrawn by Chris Wideman5 min
  • 16:41MTLChris Wideman · Fightingdrawn by Mark Scheifele5 min
  • 16:41MTLserved by C. Caufield · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMTL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Andrew Copp, 2nd 17:17 — WPG 55% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.22M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.19K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.19M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.18P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.17P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.17P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.13N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.13P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.12K. Vesalainen · On goal · xG 0.11A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09E. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.09A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.08P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.07A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.07E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06A. Brooks · On goal · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05K. Vesalainen · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.04A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.04A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.02P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · Goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.01
WPG8 G · 3.1 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsWPG
3.34 G
All situations
8 G3.1
1.73 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
1.61 G
Power play
4 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL53%47%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.22 – 3.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsWPG
35
Shots on goal
30
37%
Faceoffs
63%
1/6
Power play
4/6
19
Penalty minutes
19
17
Hits
31
9
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
10
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. ChiarotD000-130.08200—24:48
26J. PetryD011020.05302—22:21
27A. RomanovD000-100.00120—19:57
14N. SuzukiC011-120.412002119:32
22C. CaufieldR011-130.37000—17:54
17J. AndersonR303040.54014—17:39
77B. KulakD000+120.04002—17:36
32R. PitlickC000020.400102516:18
71J. EvansC011-100.001104715:13
11B. GallagherR000040.50204—14:50
62A. LehkonenL101030.29310—14:49
64C. SchuenemanD000020.03000—14:22
68M. HoffmanC000-130.18010014:08
20C. WidemanD000010.06115—13:33
45L. DauphinC000010.120004213:16
25R. PoehlingC011+110.070005512:05
40J. ArmiaR000000.00100—10:59
85M. PerreaultC000+120.11110010:56
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)23167.6962.15-4.8545:29
37A. Hammond761.8570.90-0.1014:11

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).