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New Jersey Devils at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NHLN, MSG+·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the New Jersey Devils 8-5. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Blackhawks led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirby Dach's goal at 14:04 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 52% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 4.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were NJD 36, CHI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jon Gillies stopped 29 of 35 (.829), 3.3 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (3 G, 1 A), 2. Brandon Hagel (3 G), 3. Ryan Carpenter (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    P. Kane3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    B. Hagel3 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    R. Carpenter1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD21519212536
CHICHI18316413837

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:34
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:41
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    18:55

2nd period

  1. CHI
    P. Kane(14)PPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    1:34
  2. CHI
    P. Kane(15)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    11:24
  3. CHI
    B. Hagel(16)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    14:09
  4. NJD
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    17:43

3rd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.01win prob +29 pts
    4-4
    8:36
  2. CHI
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +37 pts
    4-5
    14:04
  3. CHI
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    4-6
    14:45
  4. NJD
    snapxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    5-6
    15:45
  5. CHI
    P. Kane(16)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.95win prob +5 pts
    5-7
    18:37
  6. CHI
    B. Hagel(17)EN
    wristxG 0.62
    5-8
    19:32

Penalties

NJD 27 PIM·CHI 13 PIM

2nd

  • 0:30NJDMichael McLeod · Boardingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 0:30NJDMichael McLeod · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter5 min
  • 0:30CHIRyan Carpenter · Fightingdrawn by Michael McLeod5 min
  • 5:57CHIErik Gustafsson · Trippingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 6:48NJDNathan Bastian · Slashingdrawn by MacKenzie Entwistle2 min
  • 10:52NJDTy Smith · Hookingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 12:16NJDRyan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Henrik Borgstrom2 min
  • 18:23CHIKirby Dach · Slashingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

3rd

  • 19:32CHIKirby Dach · Roughingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min
  • 19:32CHIBrandon Hagel · Roughingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min
  • 19:32NJDP.K. Subban · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:32NJDP.K. Subban · Roughingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 19:32NJDP.K. Subban · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalNJD goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Kirby Dach, 3rd 14:04 — CHI 52% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.95B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.62B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.17A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.14K. Dach · Goal · xG 0.14K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.13L. Reichel · Missed · xG 0.13A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.12B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.12P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.11B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.10K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.10R. Carpenter · Goal · xG 0.10D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.08D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07J. Galvas · On goal · xG 0.07J. Galvas · Missed · xG 0.06D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04J. Galvas · On goal · xG 0.04K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.03P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.02S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.02S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Galvas · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI8 G · 4.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCHI
2.85 G
All situations
6 G4.2
2.55 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
3 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD51%49%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCHI
36
Shots on goal
37
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
3/4
27
Penalty minutes
13
26
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
18
12
Giveaways
15
9
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD022+100.00220—22:59
71J. SiegenthalerD123+240.04130—22:08
7D. HamiltonD011030.13320—21:19
33R. GravesD011+100.01222—20:43
86J. HughesC123050.661008019:23
13N. HischierC000-120.291104819:10
18D. MercerC000-110.073005018:45
17Y. SharangovichC101-130.431106718:35
63J. BrattL202+250.29000—18:25
37P. ZachaC000-100.0010010017:02
76P. SubbanD000-220.141114—16:22
90T. TatarL011-130.4010010014:03
24T. SmithD000-200.01012—14:01
11A. JohnssonL000+130.04200—13:07
70J. BoqvistC000+130.231105612:04
14N. BastianR000-110.0151210010:13
16J. VeseyL000000.0000010008:54
20M. McLeodC000010.021074708:45
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Gillies(L)35296.8292.67-3.3358:33

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).