Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-1. The Jets scored first; the Flyers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was James van Riemsdyk's goal at 15:51 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were WPG 33, PHI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. James van Riemsdyk (1 G), 2. Carter Hart (32 saves, .970), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. van Riemsdyk1 G

- ★★C. Hart32 saves, .970

- ★★★K. Connor1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-00:48
2nd period
1-110:42
3rd period
1-215:51
1-318:46
Penalties
1st
- 15:04
Brenden Dillon · Interferencedrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
- 15:39
James van Riemsdyk · Hookingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
- 17:40
Nate Schmidt · Cross checkingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
2nd
- 7:02
Justin Braun · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 18:43
Blake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
3rd
- 2:23
Ville Heinola · Interferencedrawn by Gerry Mayhew2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: James van Riemsdyk, 3rd 15:51 — 52% → 91%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.01 G
- All situations
- 2 G4.2
- 1.61 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.8
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.9
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 3.63
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 29
- Hits
- 24
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 11
- Giveaways
- 10
- 2
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
1@
3this game
0@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
