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Wild at Rangers
NHL

Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸3
New York Rangers
2
FinalTV NHLN, MSG+·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Wild came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frederick Gaudreau's goal at 1:49 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were MIN 34, NYR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mats Zuccarello (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jacob Trouba (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Trouba2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN05219110334
NYRNYR2120708227

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    B. Goodrow(10)
    J. Trouba (14), R. Strome (24)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:47
  2. NYR
    C. Kreider(31)
    J. Trouba (15), M. Zibanejad (28)
    backhandxG 0.39win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    17:08

2nd period

  1. MIN
    K. Fiala(12)
    R. Hartman (15), J. Benn (3)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    12:18
  2. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(13)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (33), M. Boldy (4)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    13:47

3rd period

  1. MIN
    F. Gaudreau(3)
    K. Fiala (19), M. Zuccarello (27)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +25 pts
    3-2
    1:49

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:15MINKevin Fiala · High stickingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 12:56NYRRyan Strome · Cross checkingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 12:56MINJordan Greenway · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 17:58NYRJonny Brodzinski · Slashingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

2nd

  • 2:56NYRBraden Schneider · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Frederick Gaudreau0 min
  • 12:49NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

3rd

  • 4:51MINRyan Hartman · Boardingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalMIN goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Frederick Gaudreau, 3rd 1:49 — MIN 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.39M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.36R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.20C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.17B. Goodrow · Goal · xG 0.16C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.15K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.14K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.09R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.07K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 2.6 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsNYR
3.13 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.72 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.41 G
Power play
0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN57%43%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsNYR
34
Shots on goal
27
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
18
8
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000-120.02010—24:00
24M. DumbaD000-130.06220—23:52
46J. SpurgeonD000+100.01000—22:12
36M. ZuccarelloR112-120.11300—20:24
97K. KaprizovL011-240.57000—19:59
38R. HartmanR011-130.290022519:56
47A. GoligoskiD000+100.00210—18:38
14J. Eriksson EkC000030.381006518:08
12M. BoldyL011+130.2610010015:40
17M. FolignoL000020.16410—15:15
8J. BennD011000.03020—14:22
29D. KulikovD000020.10300—13:56
22K. FialaL112+230.19102—13:55
18J. GreenwayL000030.34302—13:50
89F. GaudreauC101+130.560105612:43
52C. DewarC000000.001005010:20
21B. DuhaimeL000010.00200—08:29
49V. RaskC000000.000005708:21
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)27252.9262.61+0.6160:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).