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Los Angeles Kings at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSG+, BSW·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2. The Devils scored first; the Kings answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carl Grundstrom's goal at 11:05 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.4, NJD 2.5; shots on goal were LAK 37, NJD 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Jon Gillies stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carl Grundstrom (1 G), 2. Jesper Bratt (2 G), 3. Damon Severson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    C. Grundstrom1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt2 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Severson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK16114117337
NJDNJD21005010225

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:37
  2. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    5:47
  3. NJD
    J. Bratt(13)PPG
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    17:34

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.07win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    15:59

3rd period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.12win prob +34 pts
    3-2
    11:05

Penalties

LAK 8 PIM·NJD 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:53LAKDustin Brown · Embellishmentdrawn by Michael McLeod2 min
  • 4:53NJDMichael McLeod · Cross checkingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
  • 8:04NJDJesper Bratt · Roughingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min
  • 8:04LAKCarl Grundstrom · Roughingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 8:04NJDJesper Bratt · Roughingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min
  • 8:07LAKDustin Brown · Trippingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min
  • 16:33LAKCarl Grundstrom · Slashingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min

3rd

  • 3:06NJDJanne Kuokkanen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:38NJDserved by T. Tatar · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalLAK goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Carl Grundstrom, 3rd 11:05 — LAK 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.20J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.17T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.16N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.13J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.12Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.12J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.12J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.11P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.09J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.09T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.06N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.05R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.04D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.03J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02C. White · Missed · xG 0.02C. Jaros · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jaros · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01
NJD2 G · 2.5 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsNJD
2.43 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.23 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK49%51%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsNJD
37
Shots on goal
25
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
1/2
8
Penalty minutes
10
31
Hits
29
11
Blocked shots
9
5
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000040.14200—25:47
44M. AndersonD000000.02600—23:19
3M. RoyD000+110.02310—22:16
6O. MaattaD000+120.05210—21:16
11A. KopitarC000010.061104019:56
19A. IafalloL101+140.28000—18:26
9A. KempeR000050.40110—17:55
33V. ArvidssonL101+130.38030—16:24
24P. DanaultC000+220.141205716:23
12T. MooreL011+110.2200010014:53
48B. LemieuxL000-120.0920010014:36
34A. KaliyevR000020.02000—14:18
7T. BjornfotD011+100.01400—13:04
46B. LizotteC000030.162005612:45
50S. DurziD000+110.14120—12:10
23D. BrownR011020.02204—11:49
91C. GrundstromR101+130.29204—10:04
55Q. ByfieldR000010.002004009:38
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(W)25232.9202.46+0.4660:00

Season series

LAK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).