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Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Samuel Girard's goal at 18:29 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were COL 28, ANA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 34 of 34 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Francouz (34 saves, 1.000), 2. John Gibson (26 saves, .963), 3. Samuel Girard (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    P. Francouz34 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    COL
    S. Girard1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0819111228
ANAANA011010013034

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +23 pts
    1-0
    18:29

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. Kadri(15)EN
    wristxG 0.42win prob +7 pts
    2-0
    18:51

Penalties

COL 15 PIM·ANA 11 PIM

1st

  • 4:31ANAJacob Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 7:37COLErik Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 13:03COLKurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 13:03ANANicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min
  • 16:50COLTyson Jost · Hookingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

2nd

  • 6:08COLNazem Kadri · Hookingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min
  • 12:04ANAGreg Pateryn · Slashingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

3rd

  • 6:32COLMikko Rantanen · Interferencedrawn by Isac Lundeström2 min
  • 8:49COLMikko Rantanen · Slashingdrawn by John Gibson2 min
  • 8:49ANANicolas Deslauriers · Roughingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCOL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Samuel Girard, 2nd 18:29 — COL 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.19S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.18I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.13D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.11D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.10R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.09V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.09S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.09I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.09R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.09S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.08K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05B. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.04S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.03N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03B. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.01S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.01B. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.01S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.00J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA0 G · 2.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsANA
4.21 G
All situations
0 G2.2
2.61 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL67%33%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.17 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsANA
28
Shots on goal
34
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
0/4
15
Penalty minutes
11
13
Hits
15
8
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD011+210.06010—28:50
8C. MakarD000+130.23110—24:58
29N. MacKinnonC000000.120205022:46
92G. LandeskogL000010.242006022:20
6E. JohnsonD000020.05212—22:01
96M. RantanenR000040.72004—21:52
49S. GirardD101+120.21110—21:02
25L. O'ConnorR000+240.38000—18:59
91N. KadriC112+250.700024718:28
37J. CompherL011+110.840002516:06
3J. JohnsonD000000.02110—14:54
95A. BurakovskyL011+120.50110—13:38
18A. NewhookC000000.000004012:29
16N. Aube-KubelR000000.00100—08:43
17T. JostC000000.00002008:28
56K. MacDermidL000010.01005—05:24
11M. MaltsevL000010.052003305:07
44K. SherwoodL000010.06200—04:03
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(W)343401.0002.22+2.2259:52

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).