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Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV BSW, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Los Angeles Kings 6-2. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rudolfs Balcers's goal at 15:56 of the first period, which took the Sharks' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.9 to 1.4; shots on goal were LAK 41, SJS 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 11 of 17 (.647), 4.6 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Timo Meier (5 G), 2. Tomas Hertl (4 A), 3. Erik Karlsson (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    T. Meier5 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    T. Hertl4 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    E. Karlsson3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK115015111241
SJSSJS482405617

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    T. Meier(16)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    3:02
  2. SJS
    slapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    15:56
  3. SJS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    18:48
  4. SJS
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    19:09
  5. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    19:44

2nd period

  1. SJS
    T. Meier(19)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +4 pts
    1-5
    1:24
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    19:32

3rd period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.11
    2-6
    10:35

Penalties

LAK 11 PIM·SJS 11 PIM

1st

  • 2:35LAKArthur Kaliyev · Holdingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min

2nd

  • 0:12LAKViktor Arvidsson · High stickingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 1:31LAKBrendan Lemieux · Fightingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel5 min
  • 1:31SJSJeffrey Viel · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux5 min
  • 2:35SJSLane Pederson · High stickingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min
  • 7:48SJSTomas Hertl · Hookingdrawn by Arthur Kaliyev2 min
  • 13:21SJSNoah Gregor · Hookingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min

3rd

  • 16:55LAKArthur Kaliyev · Roughingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalLAK goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Rudolfs Balcers, 1st 15:56 — SJS 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Balcers · Goal · xG 0.14J. Weatherby · Missed · xG 0.10T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.09R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.08E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.08R. Balcers · Missed · xG 0.08T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.07T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.07A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.05M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.01L. Pederson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.00M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.00R. Merkley · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS6 G · 1.4 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsSJS
2.92 G
All situations
6 G1.4
2.22 G
Even strength
4 G1.2
0.70 G
Power play
2 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK77%23%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 1.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsSJS
41
Shots on goal
17
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
2/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
17
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
20
10
Giveaways
12
13
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011-150.09000—21:27
44M. AndersonD101-120.28110—19:10
7T. BjornfotD000+110.03200—19:01
50S. DurziD000+130.24130—18:30
6O. MaattaD000-220.08110—18:29
68S. FagemoL000020.06200—18:23
3M. RoyD000-230.34240—17:58
11A. KopitarC101030.100107317:28
39A. TurcotteC000000.00200016:39
19A. IafalloL000020.08010—16:27
89R. KupariC000-130.103003116:08
34A. KaliyevR000-140.18104—15:50
23D. BrownR000-100.20000—14:29
33V. ArvidssonL011020.23012—14:16
46B. LizotteC000040.390005014:12
12T. MooreL000010.03000—13:11
24P. DanaultC000-120.192107312:28
48B. LemieuxL000-220.31005—12:15
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)17116.6471.42-4.5860:00

Season series

SJS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).