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Devils at Islanders
NHL

New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
2
New York Islanders
▸3
FinalTV MSG+, MSG+ 2·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 15:07 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were NJD 32, NYI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jon Gillies stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Ilya Sorokin stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Pelech (1 G), 2. Josh Bailey (1 G, 1 A), 3. Zach Parise (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Pelech1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Bailey1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    Z. Parise2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD11406112232
NYINYI1141516325

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    Y. Sharangovich(8)
    P. Subban (12), C. White (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:43
  2. NYI
    J. Bailey(2)PPG
    Z. Parise (6), A. Beauvillier (5)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    18:59

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Pelech(1)
    K. Bellows (6), Z. Parise (7)
    tip-inxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    9:22

3rd period

  1. NJD
    N. Bastian(6)PPG
    T. Smith (9), N. Hischier (15)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    10:25
  2. NYI
    M. Barzal(7)
    J. Bailey (12), S. Mayfield (5)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +37 pts
    2-3
    15:07

Penalties

NJD 10 PIM·NYI 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:12NYIRoss Johnston · Illegal check to headdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 13:41NJDRyan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 14:19NYIBrock Nelson · Trippingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 17:07NJDColton White · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

2nd

  • 3:08NJDJonas Siegenthaler · High stickingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 13:19NYIAdam Pelech · Cross checkingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min

3rd

  • 5:20NJDNathan Bastian · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
  • 7:47NYIAdam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min
  • 10:08NYIBrock Nelson · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael McLeod2 min
  • 13:27NYIRoss Johnston · Roughingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min
  • 13:27NJDNathan Bastian · Roughingdrawn by Ross Johnston2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNJD goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 3rd 15:07 — NYI 52% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.35A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.21M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.16C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.16M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.15C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.13J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.13K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.12M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.12N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.12M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.11A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.10N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.09C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.09O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.09K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.05O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.05O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.05O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.04O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.04O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Goal · xG 0.02R. Salo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI3 G · 2.9 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYI
3.52 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.01 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD59%41%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.44 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYI
32
Shots on goal
25
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/5
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
16
Hits
27
13
Blocked shots
13
8
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33R. GravesD000-110.03232—25:28
71J. SiegenthalerD000-100.00102—22:06
76P. SubbanD011020.08120—21:08
24T. SmithD011-130.08020—20:46
86J. HughesC000-150.730102020:36
13N. HischierC011040.500107418:06
17Y. SharangovichC101-130.31110017:42
11A. JohnssonL000010.20100—16:01
16J. VeseyL000020.17100—15:47
18D. MercerC000000.00010014:41
20M. McLeodC000000.005007014:40
37P. ZachaC000000.21100014:25
90T. TatarL000050.72100—13:43
14N. BastianR101020.15004—13:41
83C. JarosD000010.21010—13:13
2C. WhiteD011+120.04002—11:48
70J. BoqvistC000010.01010011:16
42A. GreerL000000.00200—07:20
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Gillies(L)25223.8802.92-0.0857:41

Season series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).