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Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins

FinalTV ESPN, SN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Boston Bruins 3-2. The Bruins scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 15:35 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 18% to 35%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were MIN 30, BOS 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 36 of 38 (.947); Jeremy Swayman stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (1 G), 2. Taylor Hall (1 G), 3. Jonas Brodin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    T. Hall1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Brodin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN21411006330
BOSBOS110111017238

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    T. Hall(7)PPG
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:35
  2. MIN
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    15:25
  3. MIN
    N. Sturm(6)PPG
    slapxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    16:48

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    12:26
  2. BOS
    slapxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    15:35

Penalties

MIN 22 PIM·BOS 28 PIM

1st

  • 0:32BOSMike Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 4:36MINKevin Fiala · Slashingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 4:36MINMathew Dumba · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 6:11BOSPatrice Bergeron · Trippingdrawn by Frederick Gaudreau2 min
  • 14:49BOSBrad Marchand · Holdingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min
  • 14:49BOSBrandon Carlo · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 18:12MINKirill Kaprizov · Roughingdrawn by Anton Blidh2 min
  • 18:12BOSAnton Blidh · Roughingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 18:12BOSTrent Frederic · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 4:27MINAlex Goligoski · Interferencedrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 10:12BOSTrent Frederic · Boardingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 10:12BOSTrent Frederic · Fightingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov5 min
  • 10:12MINDmitry Kulikov · Fightingdrawn by Trent Frederic5 min
  • 13:03BOSPatrice Bergeron · Interferencedrawn by Rem Pitlick2 min
  • 15:10MINMathew Dumba · Interferencedrawn by Mike Reilly2 min

3rd

  • 1:12BOSTrent Frederic · High stickingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 1:12BOSTrent Frederic · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 1:12MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Trent Frederic5 min
  • 1:24MINMarco Rossi · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Carlo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalMIN goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Brad Marchand, 2nd 15:35 — BOS 18% → 35%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.17C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.16B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.15P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.13P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.11N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.10E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.09B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.07P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.07C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06O. Steen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Blidh · Missed · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.04M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.04M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.02C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS2 G · 2.3 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsBOS
2.73 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.01 G
Even strength
0 G0.9
1.12 G
Power play
2 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN47%53%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsBOS
30
Shots on goal
38
40%
Faceoffs
60%
2/8
Power play
2/5
22
Penalty minutes
28
23
Hits
33
10
Blocked shots
9
5
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD000+110.03514—27:42
38R. HartmanR000040.912003926:37
22K. FialaL011020.05012—23:33
25J. BrodinD022010.02120—23:33
36M. ZuccarelloR011030.22010—23:19
47A. GoligoskiD000020.04112—18:29
89F. GaudreauC000030.262104317:08
23M. RossiC000020.121023316:19
4J. MerrillD000+110.02000—16:12
17M. FolignoL011+100.00325—14:44
7N. SturmC101+120.294004514:21
12M. BoldyL101+140.16000—13:13
29D. KulikovD000010.04115—13:12
52C. DewarC011020.271005011:53
97K. KaprizovL101020.23202—10:27
8J. BennD000000.00000—10:24
16R. PitlickC000000.00000006:45
59C. AddisonD000000.00000—04:29
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(W)38362.9472.33+0.3359:16

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).