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Kings at Golden Knights
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights

Final/OTTV ATTSN-RM, BSW·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3 in overtime, Adrian Kempe scoring at 2:18. The Kings came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adrian Kempe's goal at 2:18 of overtime, which took the Kings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were LAK 31, VGK 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.1 goals below expected; Laurent Brossoit stopped 27 of 31 (.871). Three stars: 1. Adrian Kempe (2 G), 2. Max Pacioretty (2 G), 3. Jonathan Marchessault (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kempe2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Pacioretty2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK1102701113431
VGKVGK271110501324

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.23win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    8:11
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    15:06
  3. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.26win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:34

2nd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kempe(20)PPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    2-2
    0:30
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    6:33
  3. LAK
    V. Arvidsson (18), M. Roy (14)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    17:17

Overtime

  1. LAK
    S. Durzi (12), A. Kopitar (30)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    2:18

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:53LAKDrew Doughty · Interferencedrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 17:28VGKChandler Stephenson · Holdingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 20:00VGKChandler Stephenson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Matt Roy2 min

2nd

  • 0:44LAKViktor Arvidsson · Interferencedrawn by Dylan Coghlan2 min
  • 9:11LAKQuinton Byfield · Hookingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 14:13VGKNicolas Hague · Trippingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalLAK goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Adrian Kempe, OT 2:18 — LAK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.23J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.16C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.14S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.12N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.11M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.10A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.10C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.09E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.08C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.08R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.06N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.05S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.05M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.05N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.05W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.03E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.03W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.03B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.03W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02D. Coghlan · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 1.9 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsVGK
3.54 G
All situations
3 G1.9
2.93 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK76%24%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.51 – 1.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsVGK
31
Shots on goal
24
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
25
13
Blocked shots
21
3
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011020.05442—26:05
44M. AndersonD000000.00420—24:10
11A. KopitarC022+120.210005820:40
3M. RoyD011+210.04420—20:38
9A. KempeR202+150.91200—18:46
12T. MooreL000+110.08100—18:13
24P. DanaultC101010.540004117:59
33V. ArvidssonL011050.50122—17:48
6O. MaattaD000+200.00200—17:39
19A. IafalloL000010.13100—17:38
50S. DurziD011-100.02100—15:40
22A. AthanasiouC101030.5100010014:21
7T. BjornfotD000-210.02000—13:37
23D. BrownR000+120.14200—13:27
55Q. ByfieldR000+110.251025412:58
34A. KaliyevR000-130.06100—11:22
46B. LizotteC000-120.050103810:24
48B. LemieuxL000-110.00320—10:11
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)24213.8751.94-1.0662:18

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).