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Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
1
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV MSG+, NBCSWA·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Washington Capitals 5-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 15:34 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 69% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were WSH 27, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 3.0 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (26 saves, .963), 2. Mathew Barzal (3 A), 3. Josh Bailey (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov26 saves, .963
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal3 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    J. Bailey1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0701317127
NYINYI26010310526

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(37)PPG
    M. Barzal (41), N. Dobson (36)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    10:48
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(28)PPG
    M. Barzal (42), N. Dobson (37)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    15:34

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(17)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    3:44
  2. NYI
    K. Palmieri(15)PPG
    J. Bailey (30), R. Salo (4)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    6:23
  3. NYI
    J. Bailey(13)
    M. Barzal (43)
    backhandxG 0.15
    0-5
    13:37
  4. WSH
    A. Jonsson-Fjallby(2)
    A. Mantha (14), M. Fehérváry (9)
    wristxG 0.03
    1-5
    19:18

Penalties

WSH 10 PIM·NYI 22 PIM

1st

  • 9:10WSHAxel Jonsson-Fjallby · Slashingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 14:22NYIAdam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 14:26WSHJohn Carlson · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 15:11WSHJustin Schultz · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

2nd

  • 10:16NYIZach Parise · Slashingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 10:21WSHNicklas Backstrom · Interferencedrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 19:39NYIAdam Pelech · Cross checkingdrawn by Axel Jonsson-Fjallby2 min
  • 19:39NYIAdam Pelech · Cross checkingdrawn by Axel Jonsson-Fjallby2 min

3rd

  • 4:49WSHGarnet Hathaway · Boardingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 8:25NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Slashingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 8:25NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 8:25NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 1st 15:34 — NYI 69% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.15M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.13K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.12K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.10J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.07K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.06O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI5 G · 2.0 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
2.51 G
All situations
5 G2.0
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
1.00 G
Power play
3 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH58%42%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
27
Shots on goal
26
34%
Faceoffs
66%
0/6
Power play
3/5
10
Penalty minutes
22
22
Hits
13
11
Blocked shots
9
14
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-130.20122—24:55
9D. OrlovD000020.12200—19:30
92E. KuznetsovC000-130.413002519:26
2J. SchultzD000010.05102—19:06
42M. FehérváryD011030.14110—18:57
43T. WilsonR000010.16230—18:23
77T. OshieR000-100.112206018:09
90M. JohanssonL000040.65010—17:33
19N. BackstromC000-110.090022217:13
57T. van RiemsdykD000020.03000—16:08
73C. ShearyL000-100.00100—15:57
3N. JensenD000010.02000—15:45
39A. ManthaR011010.0710010014:10
20L. EllerC000010.081004013:22
26N. DowdC000010.182003312:48
22J. LarssonL000010.13010—11:03
45A. Jonsson-FjallbyL101020.05302—10:14
21G. HathawayR000000.00212—09:30
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)26215.8082.03-2.9759:31

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).