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Utah Mammoth at Anaheim Ducks

Final/OTTV ESPN+, HULU·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-5 in overtime, Clayton Keller scoring at 2:09. The Coyotes came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Clayton Keller's goal at 2:09 of overtime, which took the Coyotes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — ARI 3.3, ANA 3.3; shots on goal were ARI 27, ANA 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.8 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Clayton Keller (2 G, 1 A), 2. Hampus Lindholm (2 G, 1 A), 3. Travis Boyd (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Keller2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    H. Lindholm2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    T. Boyd1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI251132613627
ANAANA3110621901537

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    P. Kessel (12), C. Keller (13)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +3 pts
    1-0
    2:46
  2. ANA
    C. Fowler (13), T. Terry (12)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    5:47
  3. ANA
    snapxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    1-2
    6:44
  4. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    8:41
  5. ARI
    slapxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    15:12

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.18win prob +23 pts
    3-3
    19:26

3rd period

  1. ANA
    slapxG 0.03win prob +25 pts
    3-4
    2:07
  2. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +29 pts
    4-4
    8:35
  3. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +32 pts
    5-4
    9:41
  4. ANA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +32 pts
    5-5
    13:10

Overtime

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    6-5
    2:09

Penalties

ARI 20 PIM·ANA 18 PIM

1st

  • 2:30ARILiam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 2:30ANANicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min
  • 4:06ARIBlake Speers · Cross checkingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 13:51ANASam Carrick · Roughingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 13:51ARIJohan Larsson · Fightingdrawn by Sam Carrick5 min
  • 13:51ANASam Carrick · Fightingdrawn by Johan Larsson5 min
  • 19:38ARILiam O'Brien · Hookingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

2nd

  • 4:25ANASimon Benoit · Roughingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 11:33ANATroy Terry · High stickingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 17:00ANAMaxime Comtois · Roughingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min

3rd

  • 3:01ARIserved by N. Schmaltz · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 5:55ARITravis Boyd · Holdingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 12:07ARIJ.J. Moser · Holdingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalARI goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Clayton Keller, OT 2:09 — ARI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.21M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.17T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.15T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.14T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.13T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.13S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.13J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.12T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.12I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.12I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.12D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.12K. Shattenkirk · Goal · xG 0.11I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.10S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.10J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.09T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.09S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.07J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.07D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.06I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.06R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.06I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.05T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.05I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.03I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.03T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.02R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA5 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsANA
3.36 G
All situations
5 G3.3
2.35 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.91 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI49%51%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.20 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsANA
27
Shots on goal
37
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
2/5
20
Penalty minutes
18
20
Hits
22
15
Blocked shots
5
9
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9C. KellerR213+270.95010—23:46
14S. GostisbehereD011+110.09010—22:56
61D. MayoD000+100.00120—21:02
46I. LyubushkinD011-110.02310—20:38
8N. SchmaltzC022+220.27000019:03
29B. HaytonC011+110.270005919:02
86A. StralmanD011+210.02110—18:58
62J. MoserD000+110.01112—17:54
36C. FischerR101030.45000—16:59
22J. LarssonL000-100.005053216:43
72T. BoydC123+120.300224716:32
16A. LaddL101+220.28210—16:13
81P. KesselR112+130.37000—15:36
54C. DineenD000-100.00120—13:43
26A. RousselL000-110.1101010013:19
21L. ErikssonL000-100.00000—10:16
38L. O'BrienC000010.07407007:44
39B. SpeersC000-110.032226007:19
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31S. Wedgewood(W)37325.8653.25-1.7562:09

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).